Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

US defaults on debt by 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How many jobs added in June?

50k – 100k 100% Yes No
<0 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 22?

Forecasts closed
28°C 48% Yes No
29°C 35% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket

Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026

≤1.9% 41% Yes No
2.0-2.4% 40% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

No 49%
Yes 51%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

2026 Song of the Summer

Other 50% Yes No
Song A 50% Yes No

+35 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 23?

32°C 44% Yes No
33°C 34% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket

What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit in June 2026?

↑ $168 46% Yes No
↓ $132 32% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket

Will MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by July 31?

133 billion 100% Yes No
134 billion 100% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

I Will Find You: Limited Series 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Core PCE YoY - June 2026

≤3.3% 76% Yes No
3.4% 10% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$15K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Fri, Jul 10 · 22:00 EDT

Utah Royals FC vs. NJ/NY Gotham FC

Utah Royals FC 0%
Draw 0%
NJ/NY Gotham FC 100%
$15K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Tue, Jul 14 · 05:30 EDT

APIA Leichhardt FC vs. Peninsula Power FC

APIA Leichhardt FC 100%
Draw 0%
Peninsula Power FC 0%
$15K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

XRP price on July 22?

1.10-1.20 99% Yes No
1.00-1.10 1% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket

Fri, Jul 17 · 18:00 EDT

São Bernardo FC vs. Avaí FC

São Bernardo FC 0%
Draw 100%
Avaí FC 0%
$15K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$15K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

What will Elon post this week? (July 20 - July 26)

Tesla 100% Yes No
Claude 100% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket

World Cup: Furthest Advancing European Nation

Forecasts closed
Other 50% Yes No
Country A 50% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket

Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?

No 75%
Yes 25%
$15K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Hungarian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

Kimi Antonelli 38% Yes No
Lewis Hamilton 22% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (July 15)

Red 100% Yes No
Blue 100% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

No 85%
Yes 15%
$14K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech