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What will Elon post this week? (July 20 - July 26)

Top outcomes

Tesla 100%
Claude 100%
SpaceX 100%
Texas 56%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between July 20, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

$15K Vol. Closes Jul 26, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$14.7k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$15K Vol.

Tesla

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on Tesla Explain your No on Tesla (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Claude

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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SpaceX

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Texas

56% market probability

56%

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0 / 2,000

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Never

51% market probability

51%

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0 / 2,000

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China

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Trump

48% market probability

48%

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0 / 2,000

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Football

47% market probability

47%

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0 / 2,000

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Always

46% market probability

46%

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0 / 2,000

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ChatGPT

45% market probability

45%

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0 / 2,000

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Video game / Videogame

44% market probability

44%

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0 / 2,000

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Neuralink

30% market probability

30%

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0 / 2,000

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President

18% market probability

18%

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0 / 2,000

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IPO

12% market probability

12%

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0 / 2,000

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Iran / Iranian

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Crypto / Bitcoin

7% market probability

7%

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0 / 2,000

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Soccer

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

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