Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China 48% Yes No
No meeting by December 31 41% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$789K Vol.
Polymarket

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

July 31 100% Yes No
September 30 28% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$781K Vol.
Polymarket

STRC hits $100 by…

December 31 78% Yes No
September 30 36% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$772K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

December 31 30% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$767K Vol.
Polymarket World

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$765K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Belgium 16% Yes No
New Zealand 13% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$758K Vol.
Polymarket World

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

No 16%
Yes 84%
$752K Vol.
Polymarket

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Venezuela 12% Yes No
Indonesia 10% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$750K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$748K Vol.
Polymarket

Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$500M 56% Yes No
$1B 52% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$735K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Other 64% Yes No
Pause–Pause–Pause 36% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$732K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$717K Vol.
Polymarket

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Tim Cook - Apple 100% Yes No
Sam Altman - OpenAI 8% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$712K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?

Islam Makhachev 94% Yes No
Jack Della Maddalena 2% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$689K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

MLB: 2026 AL Central Champion

Chicago White Sox 72% Yes No
Cleveland Guardians 26% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$686K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

Justin Gaethje 89% Yes No
Arman Tsarukyan 4% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$681K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

MLB: Stolen Bases Leader

Nasim Nuñez 55% Yes No
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 17% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$673K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Will fomo.family launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2027 38% Yes No
December 31, 2026 8% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$671K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

September 30 4% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$661K Vol.
Polymarket

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$654K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?

Islam Makhachev 88% Yes No
Carlos Prates 10% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$637K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

NHL: 2027 Champion

Other 50% Yes No
Team A 50% Yes No

+36 more outcomes

$635K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$635K Vol.
Polymarket World

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$628K Vol.
Polymarket