Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?
December 31
8%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$873K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Russia capture Sumy by...?
March 31, 2027
4%
Yes
No
December 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$872K Vol.
Polymarket
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
No
20%
Yes
80%
$870K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
December 31, 2026
6%
Yes
No
August 31, 2026
0%
Yes
No
$869K Vol.
Polymarket
Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$500M
42%
Yes
No
$1B
38%
Yes
No
+8 more outcomes
$868K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
January 31, 2027
66%
Yes
No
January 15, 2027
40%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$866K Vol.
Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$866K Vol.
Polymarket
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$865K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Bitcoin best month in 2026?
August
87%
Yes
No
December
7%
Yes
No
+10 more outcomes
$865K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$852K Vol.
Polymarket
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
No
17%
Yes
83%
$847K Vol.
Polymarket
Solana all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
3%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$843K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$833K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?
December 31
3%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$825K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Weed rescheduled by...?
December 31
8%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$820K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Darline Graham Nordone (R)
84%
Yes
No
Annie Andrews (D)
16%
Yes
No
$808K Vol.
Polymarket
U.S. nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026
5%
Yes
No
December 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$801K Vol.
Polymarket
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$784K Vol.
Polymarket
Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028
24%
Yes
No
December 31, 2027
20%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$780K Vol.
Polymarket
Bitcoin above ___ on October 19?
72,000
100%
Yes
No
74,000
100%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$770K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$770K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?
December 31
12%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$767K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Worlds 2026 Winning Region
LCK (South Korea)
68%
Yes
No
LPL (China)
24%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$764K Vol.
Polymarket
Sports
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Belgium
10%
Yes
No
New Zealand
8%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$763K Vol.
Polymarket
World
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