Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$873K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture Sumy by...?

March 31, 2027 4% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$872K Vol.
Polymarket

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 20%
Yes 80%
$870K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No
August 31, 2026 0% Yes No
$869K Vol.
Polymarket

Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$500M 42% Yes No
$1B 38% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$868K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

January 31, 2027 66% Yes No
January 15, 2027 40% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$866K Vol.
Polymarket

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$866K Vol.
Polymarket

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$865K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Bitcoin best month in 2026?

August 87% Yes No
December 7% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$865K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$852K Vol.
Polymarket

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

No 17%
Yes 83%
$847K Vol.
Polymarket

Solana all time high by ___?

December 31, 2026 3% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$843K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$833K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$825K Vol.
Polymarket World

Weed rescheduled by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$820K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

Darline Graham Nordone (R) 84% Yes No
Annie Andrews (D) 16% Yes No
$808K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. nuclear test by...?

December 31, 2026 5% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$801K Vol.
Polymarket

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$784K Vol.
Polymarket

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 2028 24% Yes No
December 31, 2027 20% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$780K Vol.
Polymarket

Bitcoin above ___ on October 19?

72,000 100% Yes No
74,000 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$770K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$770K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$767K Vol.
Polymarket World

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

LCK (South Korea) 68% Yes No
LPL (China) 24% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$764K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Belgium 10% Yes No
New Zealand 8% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$763K Vol.
Polymarket World