Open
Crypto
Polymarket
Bitcoin best month in 2026?
Top outcomes
August
78%
October
7%
November
5%
September
5%
This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.
The “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.
The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
If two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.
Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.
If it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.
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$830K Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2027
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$830.0k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$830K Vol.
August
78% market probability
78%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 78%
+22 / −78
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 22%
+78 / −22
October
7% market probability
7%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 93%
+7 / −93
Explain your Yes on October
Explain your No on October
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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November
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on November
Explain your No on November
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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September
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on September
Explain your No on September
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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December
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on December
Explain your No on December
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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May
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on May
Explain your No on May
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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July
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on July
Explain your No on July
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June
Explain your No on June
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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April
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on April
Explain your No on April
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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March
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on March
Explain your No on March
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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January
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on January
Explain your No on January
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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February
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on February
Explain your No on February
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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