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Brazil Presidential Election María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? Iran leadership change by...? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...? Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...? Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? MLB: 2026 National League Champion World Cup: Golden Boot Winner Epstein client list released by...? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Iran leader end of 2026? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? Which party will win the House in 2026? Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Open Crypto Polymarket

Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Top outcomes

$500M 66%
$2B 62%
$1B 60%
$3B 57%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Base's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Base doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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$655K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2028

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$654.8k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$655K Vol.

$500M

66% market probability

66%

Explain your Yes on $500M Explain your No on $500M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$2B

62% market probability

62%

Explain your Yes on $2B Explain your No on $2B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$1B

60% market probability

60%

Explain your Yes on $1B Explain your No on $1B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$3B

57% market probability

57%

Explain your Yes on $3B Explain your No on $3B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$4B

40% market probability

40%

Explain your Yes on $4B Explain your No on $4B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$6B

32% market probability

32%

Explain your Yes on $6B Explain your No on $6B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$5B

30% market probability

30%

Explain your Yes on $5B Explain your No on $5B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$8B

22% market probability

22%

Explain your Yes on $8B Explain your No on $8B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$10B

18% market probability

18%

Explain your Yes on $10B Explain your No on $10B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$12B

14% market probability

14%

Explain your Yes on $12B Explain your No on $12B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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