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Open Crypto Polymarket

Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Top outcomes

$1B 38%
$2B 38%
$500M 38%
$4B 36%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Base's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Base doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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$867K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2028

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$866.8k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$867K Vol.

$1B

38% market probability

38%

Explain your Yes on $1B Explain your No on $1B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$2B

38% market probability

38%

Explain your Yes on $2B Explain your No on $2B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$500M

38% market probability

38%

Explain your Yes on $500M Explain your No on $500M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$4B

36% market probability

36%

Explain your Yes on $4B Explain your No on $4B (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$3B

35% market probability

35%

Explain your Yes on $3B Explain your No on $3B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$5B

28% market probability

28%

Explain your Yes on $5B Explain your No on $5B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$6B

28% market probability

28%

Explain your Yes on $6B Explain your No on $6B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$8B

19% market probability

19%

Explain your Yes on $8B Explain your No on $8B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$12B

16% market probability

16%

Explain your Yes on $12B Explain your No on $12B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$10B

16% market probability

16%

Explain your Yes on $10B Explain your No on $10B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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