Largest Company end of December 2026? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? What price will Ethereum hit in July? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Next French Presidential Election Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year California Governor Election Winner Largest Company end of July? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Iran leader end of 2026? Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Iran leadership change by...? Fed rate hike in 2026?
Largest Company end of December 2026? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? What price will Ethereum hit in July? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Next French Presidential Election Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year California Governor Election Winner Largest Company end of July? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Iran leader end of 2026? Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Iran leadership change by...? Fed rate hike in 2026?

Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Source All Polymarket
Ending soon Next 24h Next 48h Next 72h Next week
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Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$21.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

July 31 2% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$12.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$11.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 31 30% Yes No
September 30 14% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$10.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

July 31 0% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$10.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

December 31 14% Yes No
September 30 6% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$8.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

US military action against Cuba by...?

December 31 34% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$7.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 31 26% Yes No
September 30 11% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$6.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

December 31 28% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$4.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 18 100% Yes No
July 20 100% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$3.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)

August 31 52% Yes No
August 14 34% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31 13% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

September 30 25% Yes No
December 31 5% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

December 31 24% Yes No
July 31 4% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

8 44% Yes No
9 30% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?

40+ 100% Yes No
30+ 12% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

December 31 60% Yes No
October 31 56% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

July 7 100% Yes No
July 12 100% Yes No

+33 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by...?

August 31 66% Yes No
August 15 42% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$986K Vol.
Polymarket World

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 31 24% Yes No
October 31 14% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$874K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$611K Vol.
Polymarket