Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?
July 31
100%
Yes
No
September 30
16%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$780K Vol.
Polymarket
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Venezuela
10%
Yes
No
Indonesia
10%
Yes
No
+14 more outcomes
$748K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
December 31
1%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$625K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Iran target Ukraine by...?
September 30
2%
Yes
No
August 31
0%
Yes
No
$496K Vol.
Polymarket
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
September 30
15%
Yes
No
August 31
1%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$456K Vol.
Polymarket
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$434K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?
December 31
48%
Yes
No
September 30
11%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$387K Vol.
Polymarket
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No
68%
Yes
32%
$361K Vol.
Polymarket
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
No
86%
Yes
14%
$357K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Maia Sandu
100%
Yes
No
Andy Burnham
100%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$356K Vol.
Polymarket
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$345K Vol.
Polymarket
Israel military action against Beirut by...?
September 30
7%
Yes
No
August 31
1%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$339K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by...?
December 31
85%
Yes
No
October 31
74%
Yes
No
+7 more outcomes
$327K Vol.
Polymarket
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$324K Vol.
Polymarket
European military action against Iran by...?
December 31
7%
Yes
No
October 31
4%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$324K Vol.
Polymarket
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?
December 31
5%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$308K Vol.
Polymarket
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No
85%
Yes
15%
$301K Vol.
Polymarket
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
September 30
2%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$208K Vol.
Polymarket
US x China Military clash before 2027?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$201K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?
December 31
18%
Yes
No
September 30
4%
Yes
No
$199K Vol.
Polymarket
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
September 30
8%
Yes
No
August 31
1%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$191K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
December 31
28%
Yes
No
September 30
6%
Yes
No
$188K Vol.
Polymarket
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$186K Vol.
Polymarket
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
September 30
2%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$185K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 25–48