Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
December 31
30%
Yes
No
November 30
26%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$416K Vol.
Polymarket
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
94%
Yes
No
María Corina Machado
3%
Yes
No
+14 more outcomes
$411K Vol.
Polymarket
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
December 31
12%
Yes
No
October 31
3%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$409K Vol.
Polymarket
Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 31
76%
Yes
No
November 30
73%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$404K Vol.
Polymarket
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Mexico
16%
Yes
No
Israel
14%
Yes
No
+15 more outcomes
$402K Vol.
Polymarket
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
Olivia Chow
71%
Yes
No
Brad Bradford
28%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$401K Vol.
Polymarket
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
December 31
24%
Yes
No
October 31
10%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$389K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$385K Vol.
Polymarket
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$381K Vol.
Polymarket
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le Pen
88%
Yes
No
Édouard Philippe
42%
Yes
No
+35 more outcomes
$381K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$360K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Trump visit Greenland by...?
December 31
8%
Yes
No
October 31
1%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$355K Vol.
Polymarket
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
No
22%
Yes
78%
$350K Vol.
Polymarket
Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Independent/Technocrat
96%
Yes
No
PSD
3%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$348K Vol.
Polymarket
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
Chris Pappas (D)
88%
Yes
No
John E. Sununu (R)
12%
Yes
No
$334K Vol.
Polymarket
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?
December 31
38%
Yes
No
October 31
10%
Yes
No
$333K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$318K Vol.
Polymarket
Michigan Governor Election Winner
Jocelyn Benson (D)
95%
Yes
No
John James (R)
5%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$311K Vol.
Polymarket
Andrew Tate released from custody by...?
December 31
8%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$311K Vol.
Polymarket
Saudi airspace closed by...?
December 31
16%
Yes
No
October 31
6%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$305K Vol.
Polymarket
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
No
93%
Yes
7%
$303K Vol.
Polymarket
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
Kuomintang (KMT)
70%
Yes
No
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)
30%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$299K Vol.
Polymarket
Florida Governor Election Winner
Byron Donalds (R)
80%
Yes
No
David Jolly (D)
20%
Yes
No
$297K Vol.
Polymarket
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?
December 31, 2026
4%
Yes
No
July 31, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$292K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 169–192