Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
No
93%
Yes
7%
$198K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?
December 31
38%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$193K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$190K Vol.
Polymarket
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
No
90%
Yes
10%
$183K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?
December 31
16%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$182K Vol.
Polymarket
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
No
60%
Yes
40%
$180K Vol.
Polymarket
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$179K Vol.
Polymarket
Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Independent/Technocrat
36%
Yes
No
PSD
22%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$178K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will Trump speak to in July?
Mark Rutte
100%
Yes
No
Mark Carney
100%
Yes
No
+21 more outcomes
$175K Vol.
Polymarket
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$172K Vol.
Polymarket
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31
72%
Yes
No
China
14%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$170K Vol.
Polymarket
NATO article 5 before 2027?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$165K Vol.
Polymarket
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
No
11%
Yes
89%
$165K Vol.
Polymarket
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$163K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?
Lisa Nandy
100%
Yes
No
Ed Miliband
100%
Yes
No
+27 more outcomes
$162K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?
December 31
14%
Yes
No
September 30
0%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$160K Vol.
Polymarket
France United Left Primary Winner
Canceled
95%
Yes
No
François Ruffin
2%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$159K Vol.
Polymarket
Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner
LPV
38%
Yes
No
AS
37%
Yes
No
+7 more outcomes
$159K Vol.
Polymarket
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$159K Vol.
Polymarket
Iowa Senate Election Winner
Republican
58%
Yes
No
Democrat
42%
Yes
No
$158K Vol.
Polymarket
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$155K Vol.
Polymarket
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
Likud
56%
Yes
No
Yashar
44%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$154K Vol.
Polymarket
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$154K Vol.
Polymarket
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by...?
December 31
10%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$153K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 169–192