Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Nigerian Presidential Election Winner

Bola Tinubu 74% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$131K Vol.
Polymarket

VA-05 House Election Winner

John McGuire (R) 70% Yes No
Tom Perriello (D) 30% Yes No
$128K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

Other 50% Yes No
Person E 50% Yes No

+40 more outcomes

$127K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Xiaomi 20% Yes No
ByteDance 16% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$126K Vol.
Polymarket

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 62% Yes No
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate 32% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$126K Vol.
Polymarket

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?

November 30 56% Yes No
October 31 28% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$126K Vol.
Polymarket

John Fetterman out by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
September 30 0% Yes No
$124K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$124K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Other 50% Yes No
Person M 50% Yes No

+57 more outcomes

$121K Vol.
Polymarket

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$120K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$120K Vol.
Polymarket

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

December 31, 2026 12% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$120K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
October 31 1% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$118K Vol.
Polymarket

Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?

December 31, 2026 20% Yes No
October 31, 2026 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$117K Vol.
Polymarket

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

No election before 2027 96% Yes No
Waddani 4% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$114K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Andy Beshear 88% Yes No
Ted Cruz 82% Yes No

+69 more outcomes

$114K Vol.
Polymarket

New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Su Chiao-hui 56% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$114K Vol.
Polymarket

Spain General Election Winner

PP 84% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+31 more outcomes

$113K Vol.
Polymarket

Massachusetts Governor Election Winner

Maura Healey (D) 96% Yes No
Michael Minogue (R) 4% Yes No
$113K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

No 30%
Yes 70%
$111K Vol.
Polymarket

KS-04 House Election Winner

Ron Estes (R) 94% Yes No
Katy Tyndell (D) 4% Yes No
$110K Vol.
Polymarket

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Texas 78% Yes No
Iowa 72% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$109K Vol.
Polymarket

TN-04 House Election Winner

Scott DesJarlais (R) 96% Yes No
Victoria Broderick (D) 2% Yes No
$109K Vol.
Polymarket

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

Morena 89% Yes No
PAN 6% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$108K Vol.
Polymarket