Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer 46% Yes No
John Thune 26% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$173K Vol.
Polymarket

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 90% Yes No
Scott Colom (D) 10% Yes No
$170K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Premier of British Columbia

Lorne Doerkson 80% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+31 more outcomes

$166K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump visit North Korea by...?

December 31 7% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$165K Vol.
Polymarket

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$164K Vol.
Polymarket

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

No Meeting by December 31 65% Yes No
Qatar 14% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$163K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$161K Vol.
Polymarket

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Other 46% Yes No
Democrats 8-10% 28% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$158K Vol.
Polymarket

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$158K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$155K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$152K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
October 31 2% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$151K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump renames New Mexico to New America by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
September 30 0% Yes No
$146K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$145K Vol.
Polymarket

CA-28 House Election Winner

Judy Chu (D) 97% Yes No
April Verlato (R) 2% Yes No
$142K Vol.
Polymarket

Idaho Senate Election Winner

Jim Risch (R) 96% Yes No
Todd Achilles (I) 5% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$142K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

December 31 76% Yes No
October 31 1% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$141K Vol.
Polymarket

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$140K Vol.
Polymarket

Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?

December 31, 2026 18% Yes No
August 6, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$139K Vol.
Polymarket

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D) 88% Yes No
Andy Biggs (R) 10% Yes No
$138K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Joe Biden 100% Yes No
Ilhan Omar 100% Yes No

+39 more outcomes

$138K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Other 50% Yes No
John Healey 14% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$137K Vol.
Polymarket

Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

Other 50% Yes No
Person A 50% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$135K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$131K Vol.
Polymarket