Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Chuck Schumer
46%
Yes
No
John Thune
26%
Yes
No
+10 more outcomes
$173K Vol.
Polymarket
Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)
90%
Yes
No
Scott Colom (D)
10%
Yes
No
$170K Vol.
Polymarket
Next Premier of British Columbia
Lorne Doerkson
80%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+31 more outcomes
$166K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Trump visit North Korea by...?
December 31
7%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$165K Vol.
Polymarket
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$164K Vol.
Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
No Meeting by December 31
65%
Yes
No
Qatar
14%
Yes
No
+17 more outcomes
$163K Vol.
Polymarket
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$161K Vol.
Polymarket
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Other
46%
Yes
No
Democrats 8-10%
28%
Yes
No
+12 more outcomes
$158K Vol.
Polymarket
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$158K Vol.
Polymarket
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$155K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$152K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?
December 31
10%
Yes
No
October 31
2%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$151K Vol.
Polymarket
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by...?
December 31
2%
Yes
No
September 30
0%
Yes
No
$146K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?
December 31
3%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$145K Vol.
Polymarket
CA-28 House Election Winner
Judy Chu (D)
97%
Yes
No
April Verlato (R)
2%
Yes
No
$142K Vol.
Polymarket
Idaho Senate Election Winner
Jim Risch (R)
96%
Yes
No
Todd Achilles (I)
5%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$142K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?
December 31
76%
Yes
No
October 31
1%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$141K Vol.
Polymarket
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?
December 31
3%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$140K Vol.
Polymarket
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?
December 31, 2026
18%
Yes
No
August 6, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$139K Vol.
Polymarket
Arizona Governor Election Winner
Katie Hobbs (D)
88%
Yes
No
Andy Biggs (R)
10%
Yes
No
$138K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
Joe Biden
100%
Yes
No
Ilhan Omar
100%
Yes
No
+39 more outcomes
$138K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
Other
50%
Yes
No
John Healey
14%
Yes
No
+21 more outcomes
$137K Vol.
Polymarket
Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner
Other
50%
Yes
No
Person A
50%
Yes
No
+28 more outcomes
$135K Vol.
Polymarket
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$131K Vol.
Polymarket
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