Open Pop Culture Polymarket

Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by...?

Top outcomes

December 31 62%
October 31 11%
October 15 0%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.

$46K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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$46.3k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$46K Vol.

December 31

62% market probability

62%

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0 / 2,000

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October 31

11% market probability

11%

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0 / 2,000

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October 15

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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