Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

June 30 10% Yes No
June 15 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Republican Party 56% Yes No
Democratic Party 44% Yes No
$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

December 31 100% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Berlin State Election Winner

CDU 30% Yes No
Linke 26% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

Forecasts closed
December 31 10% Yes No
January 9 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Bitcoin above ___ on May 29?

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Forecasts closed
≤47 28% Yes No
51 16% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$150M 77% Yes No
$300M 48% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Which continent will win the 2026 Fifa World Cup?

Forecasts closed
Europe 70% Yes No
South America 22% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

December 31, 2026 10% Yes No
June 30, 2026 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

2026 IPL Champion

Royal Challengers Bengaluru 100% Yes No
Gujarat Titans 0% Yes No
$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Bitcoin above ___ on May 30?

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

MegaETH airdrop by...?

December 31, 2026 35% Yes No
June 30, 2026 15% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 2027 82% Yes No
Turkey 6% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner

Cameron Young 20% Yes No
Scottie Scheffler 19% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Bitcoin above ___ on June 11?

54,000 100% Yes No
56,000 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

Forecasts closed
June 30 6% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Before 2027 8% Yes No
June 30 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Elon Musk # tweets June 9 - June 16, 2026?

200-219 30% Yes No
220-239 26% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Aryna Sabalenka 26% Yes No
Iga Swiatek 15% Yes No

+38 more outcomes

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 31 14% Yes No
June 30 2% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

July 31 14% Yes No
June 30 6% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Ukraine election held by...?

December 31, 2026 14% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket World