Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?

1520+ 100% Yes No
1530+ 100% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$338K Vol.
Polymarket

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

30%+ 100% Yes No
35%+ 100% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$334K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Seoul on June 13?

27°C 100% Yes No
21°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$334K Vol.
Polymarket

Serie A: Next Napoli Manager

Massimiliano Allegri 98% Yes No
Filipe Luis 1% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$333K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

US military draft authorized in 2026?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$333K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Hibachi launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 76% Yes No
December 31, 2026 47% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$332K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

No 73%
Yes 27%
$332K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

December 31 98% Yes No
June 30 5% Yes No
$332K Vol.
Polymarket

What price will Bitcoin hit on May 30?

↑ 75,000 1% Yes No
↑ 76,000 1% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$330K Vol.
Polymarket

World Cup Group K Winner

Portugal 62% Yes No
Colombia 32% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$330K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

Petr Yan 56% Yes No
Merab Dvalishvili 24% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$329K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Elon Musk # tweets June 13 - June 15, 2026?

<40 74% Yes No
40-64 26% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$329K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

How much will Coinbase token sales raise in 2026?

>$200M 50% Yes No
>$400M 41% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$329K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

"Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office

43-47m 96% Yes No
39-43m 4% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$326K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

What price will Ethereum hit on June 7?

↑ 1,600 100% Yes No
↑ 1,650 100% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$325K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Tom Aspinall 42% Yes No
Tyrell Fortune 38% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$324K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

SpaceX IPO: Who will be on-stage at the Bell Ceremony?

Luke Nosek 100% Yes No
Bret Johnsen 100% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$324K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1B 26% Yes No
$2B 16% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$323K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

World Cup Group H Winner

Spain 79% Yes No
Uruguay 20% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$323K Vol.
Polymarket

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

20+ 55% Yes No
40+ 38% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$322K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$322K Vol.
Polymarket

XRP all time high by ___?

December 31, 2026 7% Yes No
September 30, 2026 4% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$322K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

MLB: Next Phillies Manager

Don Mattingly 44% Yes No
Alex Cora 21% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$321K Vol.
Polymarket

WNBA: 2026 Champion

Minnesota Lynx 20% Yes No
Las Vegas Aces 20% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$319K Vol.
Polymarket