Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Top outcomes

30%+ 100%

35%+ 100%

45%+ 64%

50%+ 30%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

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$320K Vol. Closes Jun 30, 2026

Resolved outcome: 35%+

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$319.9k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$320K Vol.

30%+

100% market probability

100%

Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

35%+

100% market probability

100%

Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

45%+

64% market probability

64%

Yes 64% +36 / −64 No 36% +64 / −36

50%+

30% market probability

30%

Yes 30% +70 / −30 No 70% +30 / −70

55%+

11% market probability

11%

Yes 11% +89 / −11 No 89% +11 / −89

Forecasts are closed for this market.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts were placed before this market closed.