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Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Top outcomes
Tom Aspinall
48%
Ciryl Gane
26%
Josh Hokit
5%
Alexander Volkov
1%
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
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$339K Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2027
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$338.8k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$339K Vol.
Tom Aspinall
48% market probability
48%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 48%
+52 / −48
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 52%
+48 / −52
Ciryl Gane
26% market probability
26%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 74%
+26 / −74
Explain your Yes on Ciryl Gane
Explain your No on Ciryl Gane
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Josh Hokit
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Josh Hokit
Explain your No on Josh Hokit
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Alexander Volkov
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Alexander Volkov
Explain your No on Alexander Volkov
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Serghei Spivac
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Serghei Spivac
Explain your No on Serghei Spivac
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Marcin Tybura
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Marcin Tybura
Explain your No on Marcin Tybura
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Curtis Blaydes
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Curtis Blaydes
Explain your No on Curtis Blaydes
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ante Delija
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ante Delija
Explain your No on Ante Delija
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Derrick Lewis
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Derrick Lewis
Explain your No on Derrick Lewis
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rizvan Kuniev
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Rizvan Kuniev
Explain your No on Rizvan Kuniev
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tyrell Fortune
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Tyrell Fortune
Explain your No on Tyrell Fortune
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jailton Almeida
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Jailton Almeida
Explain your No on Jailton Almeida
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sergei Pavlovich
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Sergei Pavlovich
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Waldo Cortes Acosta
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Waldo Cortes Acosta
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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