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Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Top outcomes
Tom Aspinall
49%
Ciryl Gane
44%
Ante Delija
21%
Sergei Pavlovich
19%
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
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$323K Vol.
Closes Dec 31, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$323.5k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$323K Vol.
Tom Aspinall
49% market probability
49%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 49%
+51 / −49
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 51%
+49 / −51
Ciryl Gane
44% market probability
44%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 44%
+56 / −44
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 55%
+45 / −55
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Explain your No on Ciryl Gane
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ante Delija
21% market probability
21%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 21%
+79 / −21
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 79%
+21 / −79
Explain your Yes on Ante Delija
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0 / 2,000
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Sergei Pavlovich
19% market probability
19%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 19%
+81 / −19
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 81%
+19 / −81
Explain your Yes on Sergei Pavlovich
Explain your No on Sergei Pavlovich
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0 / 2,000
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Serghei Spivac
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Serghei Spivac
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0 / 2,000
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Waldo Cortes Acosta
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Waldo Cortes Acosta
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0 / 2,000
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Jailton Almeida
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Jailton Almeida
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0 / 2,000
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Derrick Lewis
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Derrick Lewis
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0 / 2,000
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Alexander Volkov
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Alexander Volkov
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0 / 2,000
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Marcin Tybura
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Marcin Tybura
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0 / 2,000
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Curtis Blaydes
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Curtis Blaydes
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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