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Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Top outcomes
Ciryl Gane
66%
Josh Hokit
30%
Alex Pereira
1%
Tom Aspinall
0%
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
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$395K Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2027
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$394.7k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$395K Vol.
Ciryl Gane
66% market probability
66%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 66%
+34 / −66
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 34%
+66 / −34
Josh Hokit
30% market probability
30%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 30%
+70 / −30
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 70%
+30 / −70
Explain your Yes on Josh Hokit
Explain your No on Josh Hokit
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Alex Pereira
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Alex Pereira
Explain your No on Alex Pereira
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tom Aspinall
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Tom Aspinall
Explain your No on Tom Aspinall
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ante Delija
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ante Delija
Explain your No on Ante Delija
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Derrick Lewis
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Derrick Lewis
Explain your No on Derrick Lewis
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Marcin Tybura
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Marcin Tybura
Explain your No on Marcin Tybura
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rizvan Kuniev
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Rizvan Kuniev
Explain your No on Rizvan Kuniev
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Curtis Blaydes
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Curtis Blaydes
Explain your No on Curtis Blaydes
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Serghei Spivac
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Serghei Spivac
Explain your No on Serghei Spivac
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tyrell Fortune
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Tyrell Fortune
Explain your No on Tyrell Fortune
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jailton Almeida
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Jailton Almeida
Explain your No on Jailton Almeida
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Alexander Volkov
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Alexander Volkov
Explain your No on Alexander Volkov
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sergei Pavlovich
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Sergei Pavlovich
Explain your No on Sergei Pavlovich
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Waldo Cortes Acosta
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Waldo Cortes Acosta
Explain your No on Waldo Cortes Acosta
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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