Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

July 31 80% Yes No
June 30 70% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$42.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↑ 70,000 100% Yes No
↑ 75,000 100% Yes No

+34 more outcomes

$42.5M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

↑ 95,000 0% Yes No
↑ 105,000 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$42.2M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

2026 Men's French Open Winner

Alexander Zverev 100% Yes No
Flavio Cobolli 0% Yes No

+43 more outcomes

$42.2M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

↓ $70 0% Yes No
↓ $80 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$40.2M Vol.
Polymarket

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 89% Yes No
Steve Hilton 8% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$38.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$38.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 82%
Yes 18%
$36.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Colombia Presidential Election

Abelardo de la Espriella 88% Yes No
Candidate M 50% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$36.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$34.6M Vol.
Polymarket

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$34.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 77% Yes No
1 (25 bps) 16% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$34.2M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$33.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

July 31 82% Yes No
June 30 64% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$32.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

NFL Champion 2027

Los Angeles Rams 16% Yes No
Buffalo Bills 8% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$31.9M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Starmer out by...?

December 31 80% Yes No
October 31 77% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$31.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?

Forecasts closed
December 31 6% Yes No
July 31 1% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$30.2M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

MLB World Series Champion 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers 28% Yes No
New York Yankees 13% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$29.4M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

2026 Men's Australian Open Winner

Carlos Alcaraz 100% Yes No
Grigor Dimitrov 0% Yes No

+59 more outcomes

$29.3M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

↑ $56 100% Yes No
↑ $60 100% Yes No

+29 more outcomes

$26.5M Vol.
Polymarket

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
June 30 3% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$26.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

by December 31, 2026 6% Yes No
by June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$25.4M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

NBA Playoffs: Western Conference Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder 0% Yes No
$25.1M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

F1 Constructors' Champion

Mercedes 85% Yes No
Ferrari 5% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$23.9M Vol.
Polymarket Sports