Politics
Elections, policy, and government
194 open forecasts
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Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
September 30
9%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$954K Vol.
Polymarket
World
India strike on Pakistan by...?
December 31, 2026
24%
Yes
No
October 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$953K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$913K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?
September 30
10%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$889K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$863K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
December 31
8%
Yes
No
June 30
1%
Yes
No
$840K Vol.
Polymarket
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
Petro - Colombia President
60%
Yes
No
Starmer - UK PM
22%
Yes
No
+22 more outcomes
$813K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
December 31
5%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$812K Vol.
Polymarket
Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?
December 31
26%
Yes
No
June 30
4%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$779K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Elon Musk # tweets June 11 - June 13, 2026?
65-89
81%
Yes
No
40-64
13%
Yes
No
+8 more outcomes
$765K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
New Zealand
23%
Yes
No
Belgium
18%
Yes
No
+8 more outcomes
$718K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$718K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland
35%
Yes
No
Egypt
29%
Yes
No
+10 more outcomes
$713K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No
84%
Yes
16%
$705K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?
December 31
20%
Yes
No
June 30
4%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$703K Vol.
Polymarket
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$689K Vol.
Polymarket
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$684K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
No
86%
Yes
14%
$681K Vol.
Polymarket
U.S. nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026
10%
Yes
No
September 30, 2026
5%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$670K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-Sayed
68%
Yes
No
Haley Stevens
23%
Yes
No
+7 more outcomes
$643K Vol.
Polymarket
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
No
28%
Yes
72%
$609K Vol.
Polymarket
World
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$604K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
No
84%
Yes
16%
$597K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
No
57%
Yes
42%
$517K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 97–120 of 194