Politics

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194 open forecasts

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Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

September 30 9% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$954K Vol.
Polymarket World

India strike on Pakistan by...?

December 31, 2026 24% Yes No
October 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$953K Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran Nuke before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$913K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

September 30 10% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$889K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$863K Vol.
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Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
June 30 1% Yes No
$840K Vol.
Polymarket

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Petro - Colombia President 60% Yes No
Starmer - UK PM 22% Yes No

+22 more outcomes

$813K Vol.
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Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

December 31 5% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$812K Vol.
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Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

December 31 26% Yes No
June 30 4% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$779K Vol.
Polymarket World

Elon Musk # tweets June 11 - June 13, 2026?

65-89 81% Yes No
40-64 13% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$765K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

New Zealand 23% Yes No
Belgium 18% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$718K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$718K Vol.
Polymarket World

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland 35% Yes No
Egypt 29% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$713K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$705K Vol.
Polymarket World

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

December 31 20% Yes No
June 30 4% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$703K Vol.
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Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$689K Vol.
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Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$684K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$681K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. nuclear test by...?

December 31, 2026 10% Yes No
September 30, 2026 5% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$670K Vol.
Polymarket World

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Abdul El-Sayed 68% Yes No
Haley Stevens 23% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$643K Vol.
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Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

No 28%
Yes 72%
$609K Vol.
Polymarket World

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$604K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$597K Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

No 57%
Yes 42%
$517K Vol.
Polymarket