Politics
Elections, policy, and government
520 open forecasts
Filter by topic
Events in Politics
Sorted by date
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$161K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Tim Walz resign by...?
December 31
2%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$124K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$770K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Trump visit Greenland by...?
December 31
8%
Yes
No
October 31
1%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$356K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Trump visit North Korea by...?
December 31
8%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$167K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$177K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
December 31, 2026
6%
Yes
No
August 31, 2026
0%
Yes
No
$869K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$152K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?
December 31
20%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$208K Vol.
Polymarket
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$158K Vol.
Polymarket
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 31
2%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$6.4M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?
December 31
75%
Yes
No
October 31
1%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$143K Vol.
Polymarket
X banned in any European country by December 31?
No
90%
Yes
10%
$14K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?
December 31
97%
Yes
No
October 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$55K Vol.
Polymarket
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$232K Vol.
Polymarket
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$3.6M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
No
88%
Yes
12%
$228K Vol.
Polymarket
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
China
100%
Yes
No
France
100%
Yes
No
+24 more outcomes
$682K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Xi Jinping
100%
Yes
No
Javier Milei
100%
Yes
No
+24 more outcomes
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Chuck Schumer
54%
Yes
No
John Thune
24%
Yes
No
+10 more outcomes
$174K Vol.
Polymarket
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Nigerian Presidential Election Winner
Bola Tinubu
72%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+20 more outcomes
$132K Vol.
Polymarket
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
No
72%
Yes
28%
$451K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Showing 409–432 of 520