Geopolitics

Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?

June 30, 2027 42% Yes No

December 31, 2026 30% Yes No

$46K Vol.

Polymarket

Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Xiaomi 20% Yes No

DeepSeek 16% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$127K Vol.

Polymarket

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

CXMT 31% Yes No

CATL 26% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$607K Vol.

Polymarket

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

No 94%

Yes 6%

$514K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

June 30, 2027 13% Yes No

March 31, 2027 10% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$536K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

June 30, 2027 7% Yes No

December 31 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$968K Vol.

Polymarket World

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

June 30, 2027 56% Yes No

March 31, 2027 38% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$2.0M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

June 30, 2027 8% Yes No

December 31 3% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$4.3M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Maduro Prison Time?

No prison time 56% Yes No

60+ 24% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$925K Vol.

Polymarket World

Russia military action against EU country by...?

December 31, 2027 21% Yes No

December 31, 2026 10% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$273K Vol.

Polymarket

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 2027 68% Yes No

November 30, 2027 64% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$8.8M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

December 31, 2027 24% Yes No

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$173K Vol.

Polymarket

Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?

No meeting by December 31, 2027 82% Yes No

Hungary 3% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$176K Vol.

Polymarket

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 90%

Yes 10%

$3.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will Russia invade another country by...?

December 31, 2027 19% Yes No

December 31, 2026 8% Yes No

$619K Vol.

Polymarket

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027

Yulia Navalnaya 10% Yes No

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 9% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$18K Vol.

Polymarket

Prime Minister of Australia after next election?

Other 50% Yes No

Candidate E 50% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$34K Vol.

Polymarket