Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Trump out as President before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? Which party will win the House in 2026? Fed Decision in October? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Iran full airspace closure by...? NBA: 2027 Champion Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Trump out as President before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? Which party will win the House in 2026? Fed Decision in October? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Iran full airspace closure by...? NBA: 2027 Champion Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Geopolitics

Forecasts in Geopolitics · Politics

185 open forecasts of 517 in Politics

← All categories
Reputation leaders Popularity leaders

Filter by topic

All 517 Global Elections 267 US Elections 185 Geopolitics 185 Policy & Courts 19

Events in Geopolitics

Sorted by date

Advanced filters →
Source All Polymarket

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$178K Vol.
Polymarket

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$64K Vol.
Polymarket

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) 14% Yes No
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) 12% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

No Meeting by December 31 64% Yes No
Qatar 14% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$167K Vol.
Polymarket

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China 76% Yes No
No meeting by December 31 16% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 2027 95% Yes No
US 2% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$3.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

Egypt 17% Yes No
Yemen 9% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$81K Vol.
Polymarket

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Belgium 11% Yes No
New Zealand 9% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$763K Vol.
Polymarket World

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Vietnam 14% Yes No
Mexico 14% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$402K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

Saudi Arabia 14% Yes No
Russia 10% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$115K Vol.
Polymarket

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$78K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Alberta join the US?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

December 31 20% Yes No
October 31 2% Yes No
$65K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any country leave NATO by...?

December 31, 2026 3% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$215K Vol.
Polymarket

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$44.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

December 31, 2026 11% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$3.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$767K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$81K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$618K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$195K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
October 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$118K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

December 31 9% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$487K Vol.
Polymarket

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

December 31 23% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$120K Vol.
Polymarket