Geopolitics
Forecasts in Geopolitics · Politics
118 open forecasts of 194 in Politics
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Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?
December 31
57%
Yes
No
June 30
8%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$230K Vol.
Polymarket
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
No
78%
Yes
22%
$193K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
No
87%
Yes
13%
$189K Vol.
Polymarket
Thailand strikes Cambodia by...?
June 30, 2026
3%
Yes
No
January 31, 2026
0%
Yes
No
$179K Vol.
Polymarket
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$168K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?
July 31
4%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$157K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$149K Vol.
Polymarket
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
No
87%
Yes
13%
$147K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$142K Vol.
Polymarket
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
No
93%
Yes
7%
$126K Vol.
Polymarket
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No
91%
Yes
9%
$110K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will attend the NATO Summit?
Donald Trump
92%
Yes
No
Marco Rubio
90%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$104K Vol.
Polymarket
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
No
93%
Yes
7%
$80K Vol.
Polymarket
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$77K Vol.
Polymarket
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$71K Vol.
Polymarket
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$67K Vol.
Polymarket
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
No
88%
Yes
12%
$64K Vol.
Polymarket
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$57K Vol.
Polymarket
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
July 31
2%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$45K Vol.
Polymarket
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$44K Vol.
Polymarket
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
No
93%
Yes
7%
$40K Vol.
Polymarket
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$39K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 97–118 of 118