Geopolitics

Forecasts in Geopolitics · Politics

165 open forecasts of 414 in Politics

Events in Geopolitics

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Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
October 31 2% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$17.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Iran Nuke before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

December 31, 2026 8% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

December 31 11% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

December 31 22% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$273K Vol.
Polymarket

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

December 31 24% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$867K Vol.
Polymarket World

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

December 31, 2026 8% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$942K Vol.
Polymarket World

NATO article 5 before 2027?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$212K Vol.
Polymarket

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

December 31, 2026 7% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$482K Vol.
Polymarket

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31 48% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$124.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)

Netanyahu - Israel PM 40% Yes No
None before 2027 38% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$254K Vol.
Polymarket

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$162K Vol.
Polymarket

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

December 31, 2026 13% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$565K Vol.
Polymarket

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$138K Vol.
Polymarket

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$129K Vol.
Polymarket

Russia nuclear test by...?

December 31, 2026 7% Yes No
September 30, 2026 1% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$6.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

December 31 50% Yes No
September 30 20% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$445K Vol.
Polymarket

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

December 31, 2026 9% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$119K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$188K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 31 50% Yes No
September 30 5% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$200K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump out as President before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$11.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$92K Vol.
Polymarket