Fed Decision in December? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Will Russia invade a NATO country by...? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Bitcoin all time high by ___? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Iran full airspace closure by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion Fed rate cut by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
Fed Decision in December? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Will Russia invade a NATO country by...? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Bitcoin all time high by ___? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Iran full airspace closure by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion Fed rate cut by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?

Geopolitics

Forecasts in Geopolitics · Politics

185 open forecasts of 517 in Politics

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Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$200K Vol.
Polymarket

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$274K Vol.
Polymarket

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$107K Vol.
Polymarket

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
January 9 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$873K Vol.
Polymarket World

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$399K Vol.
Polymarket

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

December 31, 2026 10% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$945K Vol.
Polymarket World

NATO article 5 before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$298K Vol.
Polymarket

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$486K Vol.
Polymarket

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31 40% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$124.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

None before 2027 56% Yes No
Netanyahu - Israel PM 28% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
January 9 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$164K Vol.
Polymarket

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

December 31 30% Yes No
November 30 20% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$423K Vol.
Polymarket

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

No 76%
Yes 24%
$571K Vol.
Polymarket

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$140K Vol.
Polymarket

Russia nuclear test by...?

December 31, 2026 5% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$6.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

December 31 32% Yes No
November 30 19% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Saudi airspace closed by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
October 31 4% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$326K Vol.
Polymarket

Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?

December 31, 2026 20% Yes No
October 31, 2026 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$120K Vol.
Polymarket

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

December 31, 2026 12% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$120K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$201K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 31 82% Yes No
November 30 76% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$407K Vol.
Polymarket