Macro

Fed Decision in June?

No change 99% Yes No

25 bps decrease 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$89.1M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 77% Yes No

1 (25 bps) 16% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$34.2M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Largest Company end of June?

NVIDIA 94% Yes No

Alphabet 4% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$21.8M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 82%

Yes 18%

$19.5M Vol.

Polymarket World

Fed Decision in July?

No change 92% Yes No

25 bps increase 5% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$9.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$7.3M Vol.

Polymarket World

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 52%

Yes 48%

$4.5M Vol.

Polymarket World

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA 64% Yes No

Alphabet 16% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$3.4M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed rate cut by...?

December Meeting 20% Yes No

October Meeting 16% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$2.2M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Pause–Pause–Pause 99% Yes No

Pause–Pause–Cut 0% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 60%

Yes 40%

$1.8M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

US recession by end of 2026?

No 82%

Yes 18%

$1.6M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 18%

Yes 82%

$1.3M Vol.

Polymarket World

Which banks will fail by June 30?

BMO 2% Yes No

US Bank 1% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$534K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

25 bps increase 99% Yes No

No change 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$512K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

2nd largest company end of June?

Alphabet 60% Yes No

Apple 30% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$471K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

December 31 56% Yes No

July 31 49% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$293K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Decrease 65% Yes No

No Change 34% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$292K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Bank of England decision in June?

No change 99% Yes No

25 bps increase 1% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$280K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in September?

No change 74% Yes No

25 bps increase 16% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$273K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed rate hike by...?

October Meeting 36% Yes No

September Meeting 26% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$164K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$141K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026

46.0–48.9 42% Yes No

49.0–51.9 25% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$112K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$110K Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech