Macro

Bank of Brazil decision in November?

25 bps decrease 90% Yes No

No Change 9% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$69K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Bank of England decision in November?

25 bps increase 94% Yes No

No change 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$346K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

No change 74% Yes No

25 bps decrease 20% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$69K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

280M 22% Yes No

270M 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$33K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

0.6–0.7% 63% Yes No

0.4–0.5% 20% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$43K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

0.0%–0.8% 27% Yes No

-0.8%–0.0% 20% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$44K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Bank of Korea decision in November?

25 bps hike 48% Yes No

No Change 37% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$35K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?

30M+ 92% Yes No

32M+ 86% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$36K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

0.0% to 0.2% 26% Yes No

<-0.3% 25% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$37K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Bank of Canada Decision in December?

No Change 52% Yes No

25 bps increase 48% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$41K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

25 bps increase 55% Yes No

No change 40% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$41K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Bank of Brazil decision in December?

25 bps decrease 55% Yes No

50+ bps decrease 25% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$26K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase 76% Yes No

No change 22% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$3.9M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike 68% Yes No

Hike–Pause–Pause 19% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$374K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Swiss National Bank decision in December?

No Change 82% Yes No

25 bps increase 18% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$63K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 22%

Yes 78%

$864K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

25 bps increase 82% Yes No

No change 14% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$36K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?

1600.00+ 48% Yes No

1550.00–1599.99 45% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$12K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)

<1600.00 52% Yes No

1600.00–1699.99 32% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$23K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.40% 100% Yes No

5.45% 100% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$242K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.70% 100% Yes No

4.75% 100% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$127K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.0% 100% Yes No

Below 4.7% 24% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$412K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 5.20% 38% Yes No

Below 5.15% 22% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$120K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.50% 28% Yes No

Below 4.45% 22% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$134K Vol.

Polymarket Economy