Macro

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

No 92%

Yes 8%

$106K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

June Inflation US - Annual

3.8% 34% Yes No

3.9% 32% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$103K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Rigetti 79% Yes No

D-Wave 69% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$97K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

No change 81% Yes No

25 bps Increase 19% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$93K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Bank of Russia decision in June?

Decrease 92% Yes No

No Change 8% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$91K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by June 30?

↑ 1.8M 47% Yes No

↓ 1.7M 44% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$74K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

3rd largest company end of June?

Apple 62% Yes No

Alphabet 36% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$69K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.50-5.99% 26% Yes No

5.00-5.49% 26% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$65K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$64K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

No 78%

Yes 22%

$61K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

India Annual Inflation 2026

4.50%+ 87% Yes No

3.75% to 4.49% 10% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$61K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

4.6-4.9% 78% Yes No

4.9-5.2% 12% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$60K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

No Change 99% Yes No

Increase 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$57K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Pause–Pause–Pause 92% Yes No

Other 5% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$54K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

No 88%

Yes 12%

$53K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$53K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

No 80%

Yes 20%

$51K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

No 60%

Yes 40%

$51K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Durable Goods Orders MoM - May 2026

<-4% 33% Yes No

-4%– -2% 24% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$45K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

China Annual Inflation 2026

1.1 – 1.5% 62% Yes No

0.6 – 1.0% 20% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$44K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

4.00% to 4.49% 34% Yes No

2.50% to 2.99% 32% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$42K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$41K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Elon Musk Net Worth on June 30?

800b+ 99% Yes No

780-800b 0% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$39K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

No 96%

Yes 4%

$39K Vol.

Polymarket Economy