New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Next Prime Minister of Romania? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Anthropic IPO by __? Next French Presidential Election Largest Company end of December 2026? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Netanyahu out by...? Which party will win the House in 2026? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Next Prime Minister of Romania? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Anthropic IPO by __? Next French Presidential Election Largest Company end of December 2026? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Netanyahu out by...? Which party will win the House in 2026? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Fed & Rates

Forecasts in Fed & Rates · Economy

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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 97% Yes No
1 (25 bps) 1% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$54.5M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$30K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.25% 67% Yes No
4.0% 13% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$7.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Pause-Hike-Pause 58% Yes No
Pause-Hike-Hike 9% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$52K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in January?

No change 62% Yes No
25 bps increase 34% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$565K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US recession by end of 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

June 30, 2027 10% Yes No
December 31, 2026 2% Yes No
$50K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed rate cut by...?

July 2027 Meeting 51% Yes No
April 2027 Meeting 32% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$3.8M Vol.
Polymarket Economy