Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

December 31 60% Yes No
September 30 36% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$156K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 30?

30°C or higher 100% Yes No
21°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$155K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$155K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$155K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Paris on June 29?

28°C 100% Yes No
25°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$154K Vol.
Polymarket

Ethereum above ___ on July 17?

1,300 100% Yes No
1,400 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$154K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Highest temperature in Manila on June 30?

29°C 100% Yes No
27°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$154K Vol.
Polymarket

XRP above ___ on July 10?

0.60 100% Yes No
0.70 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$154K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$154K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 2?

34°C 100% Yes No
26°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$153K Vol.
Polymarket

3rd largest company end of June?

Apple 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$153K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Highest temperature in Beijing on July 5?

34°C 100% Yes No
26°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$153K Vol.
Polymarket

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

Forecasts closed
No 97%
Yes 3%
$153K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Highest temperature in London on July 16?

Forecasts closed
27°C 100% Yes No
24°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$153K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 12?

34°C 100% Yes No
28°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$153K Vol.
Polymarket

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Little Brother 100% Yes No
GOAT 0% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$152K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Highest temperature in NYC on June 25?

84-85°F 100% Yes No
72-73°F 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$152K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 10?

32°C 100% Yes No
27°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$152K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Paris on July 5?

29°C 100% Yes No
27°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$152K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 3?

$152K Vol.
Polymarket

"Moana (2026)" Opening Weekend Box Office

39-44m 100% Yes No
<29m 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$151K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in July 2026?

Forecasts closed
↓ $3.00 100% Yes No
↓ $3.20 100% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$151K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$151K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Highest temperature in NYC on July 1?

92-93°F 100% Yes No
86-87°F 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$151K Vol.
Polymarket