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Economy
Polymarket
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
Top outcomes
$900B-$1.00T
43%
$800-$900B
29%
$1.00-$1.10T
23%
$700-$800B
6%
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on October 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
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$30K Vol.
Closes Nov 1, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$30.1k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$30K Vol.
$900B-$1.00T
43% market probability
43%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 43%
+57 / −43
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 57%
+43 / −57
$800-$900B
29% market probability
29%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 29%
+71 / −29
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 71%
+29 / −71
Explain your Yes on $800-$900B
Explain your No on $800-$900B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$1.00-$1.10T
23% market probability
23%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 23%
+77 / −23
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 77%
+23 / −77
Explain your Yes on $1.00-$1.10T
Explain your No on $1.00-$1.10T
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$700-$800B
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on $700-$800B
Explain your No on $700-$800B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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$1.10-$1.20T
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on $1.10-$1.20T
Explain your No on $1.10-$1.20T
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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<$700B
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on <$700B
Explain your No on <$700B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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$1.20T+
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on $1.20T+
Explain your No on $1.20T+
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
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