Open Science & Tech Polymarket

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

Top outcomes

December 31, 2028 30%
December 31, 2027 12%
December 31, 2026 3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.

$27K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2029

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$27.1k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$27K Vol.

December 31, 2028

30% market probability

30%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2028 Explain your No on December 31, 2028 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

December 31, 2027

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2027 Explain your No on December 31, 2027 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

December 31, 2026

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2026 Explain your No on December 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.