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All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

20 to 34 37% Yes No
Fewer than 20 34% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$8K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

D4vd released from custody in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$8K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Fed abolished before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$8K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?

<275mm 52% Yes No
275-300mm 14% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$7K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$7K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Highest temperature in Singapore on September 5?

33°C 64% Yes No
32°C 24% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$7K Vol.
Polymarket

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

December 31, 2028 32% Yes No
December 31, 2027 27% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$6K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?

2900+ 100% Yes No
3000+ 98% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$5K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?

December 31, 2026 11% Yes No
October 31, 2026 6% Yes No
$4K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Italian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

George Russell 26% Yes No
Kimi Antonelli 22% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$3K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?

7.9 or below 74% Yes No
8.0 – 8.1 12% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$3K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Italian Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap

Kimi Antonelli 30% Yes No
Lando Norris 18% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$3K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship?

No 62%
Yes 38%
$2K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?

October 31, 2026 53% Yes No
September 30, 2026 16% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

December 31 50% Yes No
October 31 46% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Spanish Grand Prix: Driver Winner

Kimi Antonelli 32% Yes No
George Russell 24% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$2K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Precipitation in London in September?

<30mm 30% Yes No
60-70mm 30% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Precipitation in Seattle in September?

<1" 22% Yes No
1-1.5" 20% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Precipitation in NYC in September?

>6" 26% Yes No
3-4" 26% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many SpaceX launches in September 2026?

<12 72% Yes No
12 24% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?

No 4%
Yes 96%
$1K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?

No 30%
Yes 70%
$886 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Italian Grand Prix: Practice 2 Fastest Lap

Lewis Hamilton 48% Yes No
Charles Leclerc 48% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$686 Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$660 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech