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All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
20 to 34
37%
Yes
No
Fewer than 20
34%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$8K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
D4vd released from custody in 2026?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$8K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Fed abolished before 2027?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$8K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?
<275mm
52%
Yes
No
275-300mm
14%
Yes
No
+8 more outcomes
$7K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$7K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Highest temperature in Singapore on September 5?
33°C
64%
Yes
No
32°C
24%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$7K Vol.
Polymarket
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
December 31, 2028
32%
Yes
No
December 31, 2027
27%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$6K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
2900+
100%
Yes
No
3000+
98%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$5K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
December 31, 2026
11%
Yes
No
October 31, 2026
6%
Yes
No
$4K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Italian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position
George Russell
26%
Yes
No
Kimi Antonelli
22%
Yes
No
+20 more outcomes
$3K Vol.
Polymarket
Sports
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
7.9 or below
74%
Yes
No
8.0 – 8.1
12%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$3K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Italian Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap
Kimi Antonelli
30%
Yes
No
Lando Norris
18%
Yes
No
+20 more outcomes
$3K Vol.
Polymarket
Sports
F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship?
No
62%
Yes
38%
$2K Vol.
Polymarket
Sports
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?
October 31, 2026
53%
Yes
No
September 30, 2026
16%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$2K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
December 31
50%
Yes
No
October 31
46%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$2K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Spanish Grand Prix: Driver Winner
Kimi Antonelli
32%
Yes
No
George Russell
24%
Yes
No
+20 more outcomes
$2K Vol.
Polymarket
Sports
Precipitation in London in September?
<30mm
30%
Yes
No
60-70mm
30%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$1K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Precipitation in Seattle in September?
<1"
22%
Yes
No
1-1.5"
20%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$1K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Precipitation in NYC in September?
>6"
26%
Yes
No
3-4"
26%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$1K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
How many SpaceX launches in September 2026?
<12
72%
Yes
No
12
24%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$1K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?
No
4%
Yes
96%
$1K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
No
30%
Yes
70%
$886 Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Italian Grand Prix: Practice 2 Fastest Lap
Lewis Hamilton
48%
Yes
No
Charles Leclerc
48%
Yes
No
+20 more outcomes
$686 Vol.
Polymarket
Sports
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$660 Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Showing 1129–1152