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Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations
Top outcomes
Paul Giamatti
94%
Andrew Garfield
86%
Sam Rockwell
76%
John Leguizamo
65%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$17K Vol.
Closes Mar 15, 2027
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$16.6k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$17K Vol.
Paul Giamatti
94% market probability
94%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 94%
+6 / −94
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 6%
+94 / −6
Andrew Garfield
86% market probability
86%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 86%
+14 / −86
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 14%
+86 / −14
Explain your Yes on Andrew Garfield
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0 / 2,000
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Sam Rockwell
76% market probability
76%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 76%
+24 / −76
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 24%
+76 / −24
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0 / 2,000
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John Leguizamo
65% market probability
65%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 65%
+35 / −65
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 35%
+65 / −35
Explain your Yes on John Leguizamo
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0 / 2,000
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Guitarricadelafuente
46% market probability
46%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 46%
+54 / −46
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 54%
+46 / −54
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0 / 2,000
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Edward Norton
28% market probability
28%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 28%
+72 / −28
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 72%
+28 / −72
Explain your Yes on Edward Norton
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0 / 2,000
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Robert Pattinson
18% market probability
18%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 82%
+18 / −82
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0 / 2,000
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Colman Domingo
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
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0 / 2,000
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Jeremy Strong
13% market probability
13%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 13%
+87 / −13
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 87%
+13 / −87
Explain your Yes on Jeremy Strong
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0 / 2,000
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Steve Buscemi
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
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0 / 2,000
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Skyler Gisondo
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
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0 / 2,000
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Riz Ahmed
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on Riz Ahmed
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0 / 2,000
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Guy Pearce
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on Guy Pearce
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0 / 2,000
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John Goodman
11% market probability
11%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 11%
+89 / −11
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 89%
+11 / −89
Explain your Yes on John Goodman
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0 / 2,000
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Himesh Patel
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Himesh Patel
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0 / 2,000
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Antonio Banderas
9% market probability
9%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 91%
+9 / −91
Explain your Yes on Antonio Banderas
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0 / 2,000
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Adam Scott
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
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0 / 2,000
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Miles Teller
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Miles Teller
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0 / 2,000
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Tom Holland
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
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0 / 2,000
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Channing Tatum
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
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0 / 2,000
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Charles Melton
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Charles Melton
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0 / 2,000
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James Ortiz
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on James Ortiz
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0 / 2,000
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Michael Fassbender
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
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0 / 2,000
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Jesse Plemons
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
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0 / 2,000
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Robert De Niro
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
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0 / 2,000
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Daniel Craig
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Daniel Craig
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0 / 2,000
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