Open
Polymarket
Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader
Top outcomes
Other
50%
Player A
50%
Player B
50%
Player C
50%
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$7K Vol.
Closes Jan 12, 2027
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$7.1k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$7K Vol.
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player A
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player A
Explain your No on Player A
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player B
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player B
Explain your No on Player B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player C
Explain your No on Player C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player D
Explain your No on Player D
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player E
Explain your No on Player E
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player F
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player F
Explain your No on Player F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player G
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player G
Explain your No on Player G
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player H
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player H
Explain your No on Player H
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player I
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player I
Explain your No on Player I
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player J
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player J
Explain your No on Player J
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player K
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player K
Explain your No on Player K
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player L
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player L
Explain your No on Player L
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player M
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player M
Explain your No on Player M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player N
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player N
Explain your No on Player N
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player O
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player O
Explain your No on Player O
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player P
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player P
Explain your No on Player P
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player Q
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player Q
Explain your No on Player Q
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player R
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player R
Explain your No on Player R
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player S
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player S
Explain your No on Player S
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player T
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player T
Explain your No on Player T
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player U
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player U
Explain your No on Player U
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player V
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player V
Explain your No on Player V
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player W
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player W
Explain your No on Player W
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player X
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player X
Explain your No on Player X
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player Y
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player Y
Explain your No on Player Y
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player Z
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player Z
Explain your No on Player Z
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player AA
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player AA
Explain your No on Player AA
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player AB
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player AB
Explain your No on Player AB
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player AC
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player AC
Explain your No on Player AC
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player AD
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player AD
Explain your No on Player AD
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player AE
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player AE
Explain your No on Player AE
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player AF
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player AF
Explain your No on Player AF
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player AG
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player AG
Explain your No on Player AG
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player AH
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player AH
Explain your No on Player AH
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player AI
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player AI
Explain your No on Player AI
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player AJ
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player AJ
Explain your No on Player AJ
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player AK
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player AK
Explain your No on Player AK
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player AL
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player AL
Explain your No on Player AL
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player AM
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player AM
Explain your No on Player AM
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player AN
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-40']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-40']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Player AN
Explain your No on Player AN
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Joe Burrow
13% market probability
13%
$refs['reasoning-41']?.focus())"
>
Yes 13%
+87 / −13
$refs['reasoning-41']?.focus())"
>
No 87%
+13 / −87
Explain your Yes on Joe Burrow
Explain your No on Joe Burrow
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Matthew Stafford
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-42']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-42']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on Matthew Stafford
Explain your No on Matthew Stafford
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Dak Prescott
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-43']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-43']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Dak Prescott
Explain your No on Dak Prescott
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jared Goff
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-44']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-44']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Jared Goff
Explain your No on Jared Goff
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Brock Purdy
7% market probability
7%
$refs['reasoning-45']?.focus())"
>
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
$refs['reasoning-45']?.focus())"
>
No 93%
+7 / −93
Explain your Yes on Brock Purdy
Explain your No on Brock Purdy
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Trevor Lawrence
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-46']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-46']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Trevor Lawrence
Explain your No on Trevor Lawrence
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bo Nix
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-47']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-47']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Bo Nix
Explain your No on Bo Nix
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Drake Maye
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-48']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-48']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Drake Maye
Explain your No on Drake Maye
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Justin Herbert
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-49']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-49']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Justin Herbert
Explain your No on Justin Herbert
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jayden Daniels
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-50']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-50']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Jayden Daniels
Explain your No on Jayden Daniels
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lamar Jackson
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-51']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-51']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Lamar Jackson
Explain your No on Lamar Jackson
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Patrick Mahomes
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-52']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-52']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Patrick Mahomes
Explain your No on Patrick Mahomes
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sam Darnold
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-53']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-53']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Sam Darnold
Explain your No on Sam Darnold
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jordan Love
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-54']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-54']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Jordan Love
Explain your No on Jordan Love
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Josh Allen
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-55']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-55']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Josh Allen
Explain your No on Josh Allen
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Caleb Williams
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-56']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-56']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Caleb Williams
Explain your No on Caleb Williams
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Carson Beck
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-57']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-57']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Carson Beck
Explain your No on Carson Beck
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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C.J. Stroud
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-58']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-58']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on C.J. Stroud
Explain your No on C.J. Stroud
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kyler Murray
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-59']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-59']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Kyler Murray
Explain your No on Kyler Murray
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tyler Shough
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-60']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-60']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Tyler Shough
Explain your No on Tyler Shough
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jalen Hurts
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-61']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-61']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Jalen Hurts
Explain your No on Jalen Hurts
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jaxson Dart
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-62']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-62']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
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0 / 2,000
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Cam Ward
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-63']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-63']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Geno Smith
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-64']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-64']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
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0 / 2,000
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Bryce Young
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-65']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-65']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
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0 / 2,000
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JJ McCarthy
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-66']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-66']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on JJ McCarthy
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0 / 2,000
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Daniel Jones
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-67']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-67']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Daniel Jones
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kirk Cousins
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-68']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-68']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Kirk Cousins
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Malik Willis
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-69']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-69']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Malik Willis
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0 / 2,000
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Aaron Rodgers
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-70']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-70']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Aaron Rodgers
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0 / 2,000
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Deshaun Watson
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-71']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-71']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Deshaun Watson
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0 / 2,000
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Jacoby Brissett
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-72']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-72']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Jacoby Brissett
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Shedeur Sanders
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-73']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-73']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Shedeur Sanders
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Fernando Mendoza
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-74']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-74']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Fernando Mendoza
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Michael Penix Jr.
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-75']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-75']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Michael Penix Jr.
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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