Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$58K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

USD x Iranian rials End of October?

2.6-2.7M 40% Yes No
2.7-2.8M 30% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$58K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$58K Vol.
Polymarket

NC-08 House Election Winner

Mark Harris (R) 95% Yes No
Colby Watson (D) 4% Yes No
$58K Vol.
Polymarket

Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

October 31 1% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$57K Vol.
Polymarket

Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place

Lamine Yamal 68% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+49 more outcomes

$57K Vol.
Polymarket

CA-08 House Election Winner

John Garamendi (D) 96% Yes No
Rudy Recile (R) 3% Yes No
$57K Vol.
Polymarket

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Pause-Hike-Pause 52% Yes No
Pause-Hike-Hike 17% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$57K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Precipitation in Hong Kong in October?

70-120mm 90% Yes No
120-210mm 8% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$57K Vol.
Polymarket

Bitcoin above ___ on October 24?

74,000 99% Yes No
72,000 99% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$57K Vol.
Polymarket

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

December 31, 2026 12% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$57K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Pro Football: Tyreek Hill Next Team

Other 50% Yes No
Team A 50% Yes No

+33 more outcomes

$56K Vol.
Polymarket

Next England National Team Head Coach

Other 50% Yes No
Manager A 50% Yes No

+25 more outcomes

$56K Vol.
Polymarket

LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?

No 14%
Yes 86%
$56K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

December 31 28% Yes No
October 31 18% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$56K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

No 55%
Yes 45%
$56K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Regional Board Chair of Gävleborg?

Eva Lindberg 91% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

$56K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 31 94% Yes No
October 30 1% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$56K Vol.
Polymarket

Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?

3.0-3.5% 32% Yes No
2.5-3.0% 30% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$56K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

TX-08 House Election Winner

Jessica Hart Steinmann (R) 95% Yes No
Laura Jones (D) 5% Yes No
$55K Vol.
Polymarket

FL-22 House Election Winner

Pia Dandiya (D) 55% Yes No
Casey Askar (R) 46% Yes No
$55K Vol.
Polymarket

Ethereum above ___ on October 22?

1,900 100% Yes No
2,000 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$55K Vol.
Polymarket

Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?

December 31 96% Yes No
October 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$55K Vol.
Polymarket

CO-04 House Election Winner

Lauren Boebert (R) 74% Yes No
Eileen Laubacher (D) 26% Yes No
$55K Vol.
Polymarket