Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
No
90%
Yes
10%
$58K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
USD x Iranian rials End of October?
2.6-2.7M
40%
Yes
No
2.7-2.8M
30%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$58K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$58K Vol.
Polymarket
NC-08 House Election Winner
Mark Harris (R)
95%
Yes
No
Colby Watson (D)
4%
Yes
No
$58K Vol.
Polymarket
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
October 31
1%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$57K Vol.
Polymarket
Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place
Lamine Yamal
68%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+49 more outcomes
$57K Vol.
Polymarket
CA-08 House Election Winner
John Garamendi (D)
96%
Yes
No
Rudy Recile (R)
3%
Yes
No
$57K Vol.
Polymarket
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause
52%
Yes
No
Pause-Hike-Hike
17%
Yes
No
+7 more outcomes
$57K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Precipitation in Hong Kong in October?
70-120mm
90%
Yes
No
120-210mm
8%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$57K Vol.
Polymarket
Bitcoin above ___ on October 24?
74,000
99%
Yes
No
72,000
99%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$57K Vol.
Polymarket
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?
December 31, 2026
12%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
$57K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Pro Football: Tyreek Hill Next Team
Other
50%
Yes
No
Team A
50%
Yes
No
+33 more outcomes
$56K Vol.
Polymarket
Next England National Team Head Coach
Other
50%
Yes
No
Manager A
50%
Yes
No
+25 more outcomes
$56K Vol.
Polymarket
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?
No
14%
Yes
86%
$56K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?
December 31
28%
Yes
No
October 31
18%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$56K Vol.
Polymarket
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
No
55%
Yes
45%
$56K Vol.
Polymarket
Next Regional Board Chair of Gävleborg?
Eva Lindberg
91%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+32 more outcomes
$56K Vol.
Polymarket
Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?
No release by October 31
94%
Yes
No
October 30
1%
Yes
No
+30 more outcomes
$56K Vol.
Polymarket
Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
3.0-3.5%
32%
Yes
No
2.5-3.0%
30%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$56K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
TX-08 House Election Winner
Jessica Hart Steinmann (R)
95%
Yes
No
Laura Jones (D)
5%
Yes
No
$55K Vol.
Polymarket
FL-22 House Election Winner
Pia Dandiya (D)
55%
Yes
No
Casey Askar (R)
46%
Yes
No
$55K Vol.
Polymarket
Ethereum above ___ on October 22?
1,900
100%
Yes
No
2,000
100%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$55K Vol.
Polymarket
Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?
December 31
96%
Yes
No
October 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$55K Vol.
Polymarket
CO-04 House Election Winner
Lauren Boebert (R)
74%
Yes
No
Eileen Laubacher (D)
26%
Yes
No
$55K Vol.
Polymarket
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