Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Netanyahu out by...? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? US military action against Cuba by...? New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Anthropic IPO by __? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 What price will Bitcoin hit in October? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Epstein client list released by...? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Netanyahu out by...? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? US military action against Cuba by...? New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Anthropic IPO by __? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 What price will Bitcoin hit in October? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Epstein client list released by...? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
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Bitcoin above ___ on October 24?

Top outcomes

72,000 99%
74,000 97%
76,000 94%
78,000 88%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

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$26K Vol. Closes Oct 24, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$25.5k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$26K Vol.

72,000

99% market probability

99%

Explain your Yes on 72,000 Explain your No on 72,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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74,000

97% market probability

97%

Explain your Yes on 74,000 Explain your No on 74,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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76,000

94% market probability

94%

Explain your Yes on 76,000 Explain your No on 76,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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78,000

88% market probability

88%

Explain your Yes on 78,000 Explain your No on 78,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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80,000

74% market probability

74%

Explain your Yes on 80,000 Explain your No on 80,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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82,000

50% market probability

50%

Explain your Yes on 82,000 Explain your No on 82,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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84,000

28% market probability

28%

Explain your Yes on 84,000 Explain your No on 84,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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86,000

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on 86,000 Explain your No on 86,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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88,000

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on 88,000 Explain your No on 88,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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90,000

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on 90,000 Explain your No on 90,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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92,000

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 92,000 Explain your No on 92,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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