Open
Polymarket
Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place
Top outcomes
Lamine Yamal
64%
Other
50%
Player A
50%
Player B
50%
This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 3rd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.
The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.
If two or more players are tied for 3rd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.
If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$37.3k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$37K Vol.
Lamine Yamal
64% market probability
64%
Yes 64%
+36 / −64
No 36%
+64 / −36
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player A
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player B
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player C
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player D
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player E
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player G
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player H
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Kylian Mbappé
24% market probability
24%
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
No 76%
+24 / −76
Lionel Messi
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Rodri
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Fabian Ruiz
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Harry Kane
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Erling Haaland
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Declan Rice
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Sadio Mané
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Ousmane Dembélé
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Jude Bellingham
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Lautaro Martinez
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Michael Olise
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Vinícius Júnior
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Vitinha
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Luis Diaz
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Marquinhos
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
João Neves
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Nuno Mendes
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Pau Cubarsi
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Achraf Hakimi
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Ferran Torres
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Willian Pacho
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Marc Cucurella
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
William Saliba
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Bruno Fernandes
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Dayot Upamecano
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Julián Quiñones
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Gabriel Magalhães
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
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