Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
CA-23 House Election Winner
Jay Obernolte (R)
98%
Yes
No
Tessa Lynn Hodge (D)
2%
Yes
No
$102K Vol.
Polymarket
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
Microsoft
13%
Yes
No
SpaceXAI
10%
Yes
No
+11 more outcomes
$102K Vol.
Polymarket
When will Ethereum hit $3k?
by December 31, 2027
70%
Yes
No
by September 30, 2027
68%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$101K Vol.
Polymarket
Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?
72,000
99%
Yes
No
74,000
99%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$100K Vol.
Polymarket
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas
Lula
64%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$100K Vol.
Polymarket
Bank of Israel Decision in October?
No Change
89%
Yes
No
Decrease
9%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$100K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
No
84%
Yes
16%
$100K Vol.
Polymarket
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
October 31
1%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$100K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?
November 30
29%
Yes
No
October 31
4%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$99K Vol.
Polymarket
#2 US Spotify Song 2026
Earrings – Malcom Todd
62%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+63 more outcomes
$99K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
↑ 6.20%
100%
Yes
No
↑ 6.30%
100%
Yes
No
+11 more outcomes
$99K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?
PSD
86%
Yes
No
PSD + AUR
4%
Yes
No
+30 more outcomes
$99K Vol.
Polymarket
MN-06 House Election Winner
Tom Emmer (R)
96%
Yes
No
Doug Chapin (D)
2%
Yes
No
$98K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Jumper launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
98%
Yes
No
June 30, 2027
95%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$98K Vol.
Polymarket
NY-21 House Election Winner
Anthony Constantino (R)
74%
Yes
No
Blake Gendebien (D)
26%
Yes
No
$98K Vol.
Polymarket
Clavicular sentenced to prison by...?
December 31, 2027
20%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
6%
Yes
No
$97K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
25 bps increase
64%
Yes
No
No change
30%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$97K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by...?
December 31
16%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$97K Vol.
Polymarket
Pro Football: NFC North Champion
Minnesota Vikings
44%
Yes
No
Detroit Lions
26%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$97K Vol.
Polymarket
Tennessee Senate Election Winner
Bill Hagerty (R)
95%
Yes
No
Marquita Bradshaw (D)
4%
Yes
No
$97K Vol.
Polymarket
OH-14 House Election Winner
David Joyce (R)
96%
Yes
No
Maria Jukic (D)
2%
Yes
No
$97K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by...?
December 31
16%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$96K Vol.
Polymarket
Minnesota Governor Election Winner
Amy Klobuchar (D)
96%
Yes
No
Lisa Demuth (R)
5%
Yes
No
$96K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?
October 31
10%
Yes
No
August 31
0%
Yes
No
$96K Vol.
Polymarket
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