Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+ 60% Yes No
1T–1.25T 12% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$192K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

September 30 12% Yes No
August 31 1% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$191K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Daylight launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 32% Yes No
December 31, 2026 21% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$191K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?

December 31 28% Yes No
September 30 4% Yes No
$189K Vol.
Polymarket

Will USDT market cap hit $200B by ___?

December 31, 2026 50% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No
$189K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D) 55% Yes No
Jon Husted (R) 46% Yes No
$188K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$188K Vol.
Polymarket

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Alibaba 80% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$186K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$186K Vol.
Polymarket

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$186K Vol.
Polymarket

US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$186K Vol.
Polymarket

Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

September 30 2% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$185K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

1m 100% Yes No
1.1m 100% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$184K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?

December 31, 2026 28% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No
$183K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

September 30 7% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$182K Vol.
Polymarket

When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?

September 30 39% Yes No
September 11 15% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$182K Vol.
Polymarket

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Ken Sim 43% Yes No
Pete Fry 30% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$181K Vol.
Polymarket

#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?

Other 50% Yes No
Person 1 50% Yes No

+91 more outcomes

$179K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$179K Vol.
Polymarket

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

GlobalFoundries 94% Yes No
Rigetti 79% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$177K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Audias Flores-Silva 100% Yes No
Juan Reyes Mejía González 62% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$176K Vol.
Polymarket

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D) 54% Yes No
Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 46% Yes No
$176K Vol.
Polymarket

#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?

Other 50% Yes No
Movie B 50% Yes No

+44 more outcomes

$174K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...?

December 31 94% Yes No
September 30 73% Yes No
$174K Vol.
Polymarket