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Pop Culture
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Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Top outcomes
Other
50%
Actor B
50%
Actor C
50%
Actor D
50%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$98.2k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$98K Vol.
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor B
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor C
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor D
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor E
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor G
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor H
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor U
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor V
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor W
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor X
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor Y
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actor Z
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Matt Damon
26% market probability
26%
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
No 74%
+26 / −74
Tom Cruise
26% market probability
26%
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
No 74%
+26 / −74
Andrew Scott
16% market probability
16%
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
No 84%
+16 / −84
John Malkovich
16% market probability
16%
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
No 84%
+16 / −84
Robert Pattinson
9% market probability
9%
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
No 91%
+9 / −91
Sebastian Stan
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Timothée Chalamet
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Ryan Gosling
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Pedro Pascal
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Jeremy Strong
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Javier Bardem
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Sam Rockwell
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Brad Pitt
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Robert Aramayo
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Adam Driver
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Josh O'Connor
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Jaafar Jackson
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
John Turturro
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
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