Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

No 26%
Yes 74%
$430K Vol.
Polymarket

Largest Company end of October 2026?

NVIDIA 80% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$429K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner

Yordan Alvarez 96% Yes No
Bobby Witt Jr. 0% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$428K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$426K Vol.
Polymarket

First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?

None by December 25, 2026 92% Yes No
Artificial Inu (AI) 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$421K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

↑ $7,400 100% Yes No
↑ $7,600 100% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$420K Vol.
Polymarket

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

October 31 4% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$419K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

October 31 11% Yes No
July 14 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$419K Vol.
Polymarket

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

December 31 32% Yes No
November 30 26% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$418K Vol.
Polymarket

Plague pandemic in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$415K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will Hibachi launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 86% Yes No
December 31, 2026 62% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$412K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Delcy Rodríguez 94% Yes No
María Corina Machado 3% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$411K Vol.
Polymarket

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
October 31 3% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$409K Vol.
Polymarket

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow 72% Yes No
Brad Bradford 30% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$407K Vol.
Polymarket

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 31 78% Yes No
November 30 75% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$405K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?

June 30, 2027 58% Yes No
March 31, 2027 32% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$404K Vol.
Polymarket

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

December 31 24% Yes No
October 31 15% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$404K Vol.
Polymarket

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Mexico 16% Yes No
Israel 14% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$402K Vol.
Polymarket

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.0% 100% Yes No
Below 4.7% 20% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$398K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Ciryl Gane 66% Yes No
Josh Hokit 30% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$395K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

November 2026 55% Yes No
January 2027 14% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$390K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2026 76% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$389K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$386K Vol.
Polymarket

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$384K Vol.
Polymarket