Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?

December 31 42% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$94K Vol.
Polymarket

Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

September 30 1% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$94K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by...?

September 30 6% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No
$94K Vol.
Polymarket

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31 80% Yes No
October 31 70% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$86K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?

October 31 40% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No
$85K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Serhiivka by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$78K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$75K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?

September 30 92% Yes No
August 31 90% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$74K Vol.
Polymarket

Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

September 30 1% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$71K Vol.
Polymarket

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
September 30 2% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$69K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by...?

December 31 42% Yes No
September 30 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$65K Vol.
Polymarket

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$64K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Svitle by...?

October 31 29% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No
$59K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

September 30 26% Yes No
September 15 16% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$56K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Hannivka by...?

December 31 95% Yes No
September 30 81% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$56K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Shevchenko by...?

October 31 62% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No
$55K Vol.
Polymarket

Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

September 30 3% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$55K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by...?

December 31 42% Yes No
September 30 10% Yes No
$48K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran target Bahrain by...?

September 30 66% Yes No
September 15 53% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$41K Vol.
Polymarket

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

UK 17% Yes No
US 16% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$38K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel military action against Syria by...?

September 30 20% Yes No
September 15 14% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$37K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
October 31 10% Yes No
$33K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran target Oman by...?

September 30 18% Yes No
September 15 8% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$31K Vol.
Polymarket

Another Iranian diplomat expelled by...?

October 31 18% Yes No
September 30 16% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$29K Vol.
Polymarket