Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Houthis target Saudi Arabia by...?
September 15
56%
Yes
No
August 31
8%
Yes
No
$27K Vol.
Polymarket
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 31?
190-209
42%
Yes
No
170-189
30%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$25K Vol.
Polymarket
Moscow air traffic suspended by...?
September 15
31%
Yes
No
August 31
0%
Yes
No
$24K Vol.
Polymarket
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?
1
42%
Yes
No
<1
22%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$19K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
September 30
82%
Yes
No
September 15
66%
Yes
No
$17K Vol.
Polymarket
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 31?
20-39
74%
Yes
No
<20
14%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$17K Vol.
Polymarket
Assimi Goïta out as President of Mali by...?
June 30
40%
Yes
No
December 31
25%
Yes
No
$16K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 97–104