Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$230K Vol.
Polymarket
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
No
88%
Yes
12%
$228K Vol.
Polymarket
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
No
68%
Yes
32%
$226K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will Trump speak to by October 31?
Elon Musk
100%
Yes
No
Mark Carney
100%
Yes
No
+20 more outcomes
$224K Vol.
Polymarket
Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo
Other
50%
Yes
No
Candidate A
50%
Yes
No
+40 more outcomes
$222K Vol.
Polymarket
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$215K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?
December 31
28%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$210K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?
December 31
20%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$208K Vol.
Polymarket
Georgia Governor Election Winner
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)
52%
Yes
No
Rick Jackson (R)
48%
Yes
No
$205K Vol.
Polymarket
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$202K Vol.
Polymarket
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
No
78%
Yes
22%
$202K Vol.
Polymarket
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$201K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
December 31
2%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$201K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$195K Vol.
Polymarket
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$192K Vol.
Polymarket
Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?
↓ 8%
100%
Yes
No
↓ 7%
23%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$189K Vol.
Polymarket
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$186K Vol.
Polymarket
Arizona Governor Election Winner
Katie Hobbs (D)
92%
Yes
No
Andy Biggs (R)
8%
Yes
No
$184K Vol.
Polymarket
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$180K Vol.
Polymarket
Next Premier of British Columbia
Lorne Doerkson
78%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+31 more outcomes
$179K Vol.
Polymarket
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$178K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$177K Vol.
Polymarket
Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)
88%
Yes
No
Scott Colom (D)
12%
Yes
No
$177K Vol.
Polymarket
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?
No meeting by December 31, 2027
82%
Yes
No
Hungary
3%
Yes
No
+27 more outcomes
$176K Vol.
Polymarket
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