Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$230K Vol.
Polymarket

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$228K Vol.
Polymarket

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

No 68%
Yes 32%
$226K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Elon Musk 100% Yes No
Mark Carney 100% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$224K Vol.
Polymarket

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

Other 50% Yes No
Candidate A 50% Yes No

+40 more outcomes

$222K Vol.
Polymarket

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$215K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?

December 31 28% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$210K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?

December 31 20% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$208K Vol.
Polymarket

Georgia Governor Election Winner

Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) 52% Yes No
Rick Jackson (R) 48% Yes No
$205K Vol.
Polymarket

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$202K Vol.
Polymarket

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

No 78%
Yes 22%
$202K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$201K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$201K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$195K Vol.
Polymarket

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$192K Vol.
Polymarket

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 8% 100% Yes No
↓ 7% 23% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$189K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$186K Vol.
Polymarket

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D) 92% Yes No
Andy Biggs (R) 8% Yes No
$184K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$180K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Premier of British Columbia

Lorne Doerkson 78% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+31 more outcomes

$179K Vol.
Polymarket

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$178K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$177K Vol.
Polymarket

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 88% Yes No
Scott Colom (D) 12% Yes No
$177K Vol.
Polymarket

Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?

No meeting by December 31, 2027 82% Yes No
Hungary 3% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$176K Vol.
Polymarket