Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Fed Decision in July?

No change 74% Yes No
25 bps increase 24% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$87.9M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 84% Yes No
1 (25 bps) 10% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$44.7M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$20.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Cursor 100% Yes No
iRobot 100% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$18.1M Vol.
Polymarket

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

3.75% 31% Yes No
4.0% 27% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$6.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 46%
Yes 54%
$5.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX 86% Yes No
xAI 26% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$4.9M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA 66% Yes No
Apple 20% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$4.7M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 24%
Yes 76%
$4.5M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in September?

25 bps increase 52% Yes No
No change 42% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$4.3M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Largest Company end of July?

NVIDIA 90% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$3.7M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

OpenAI IPO by...?

December 31, 2026 18% Yes No
September 30, 2026 4% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.0T 100% Yes No
↑$1.1T 100% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket

Crude Oil all time high by...?

December 31 19% Yes No
September 30 12% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by December 31, 2026 82% Yes No
1T–1.25T 8% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Elon Musk 96% Yes No
Sergey Brin 1% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

US recession by end of 2026?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↓ 3.5% 100% Yes No
↑ 4.25% 41% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed rate hike by...?

October Meeting 68% Yes No
September Meeting 60% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 3% 100% Yes No
Above 4% 100% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

↑ $6,000 10% Yes No
↑ $7,000 6% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$993K Vol.
Polymarket

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$900B 72% Yes No
↓$800B 58% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$927K Vol.
Polymarket

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Pause–Pause–Pause 73% Yes No
Other 25% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$852K Vol.
Polymarket Economy