Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 97% Yes No
1 (25 bps) 1% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$54.2M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in October?

No change 86% Yes No
25 bps increase 14% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$43.5M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Cursor 100% Yes No
iRobot 100% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$18.4M Vol.
Polymarket

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$15.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA 68% Yes No
Apple 29% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$8.5M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.25% 64% Yes No
≥ 4.5% 15% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$7.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX 64% Yes No
Anthropic 37% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$6.6M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.0T 100% Yes No
↑$1.1T 100% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$5.7M Vol.
Polymarket

Crude Oil all time high by...?

March 31, 2027 20% Yes No
December 31 12% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$4.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Anthropic IPO by __?

December 31, 2026 74% Yes No
December 15, 2026 68% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$4.8M Vol.
Polymarket

Fed rate cut by...?

July 2027 Meeting 51% Yes No
June 2027 Meeting 36% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$3.8M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase 78% Yes No
No change 18% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$3.6M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$3.1M Vol.
Polymarket

OpenAI IPO by...?

June 30, 2027 34% Yes No
March 31, 2027 20% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$3.1M Vol.
Polymarket

AI bubble burst by...?

June 30, 2027 18% Yes No
December 31, 2026 7% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$3.0M Vol.
Polymarket

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by December 31, 2026 96% Yes No
1.5T+ 1% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket

US recession by end of 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

↑ $4,500 50% Yes No
↓ $3,500 14% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Elon Musk 97% Yes No
Warren Buffett 1% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↓ 3.5% 100% Yes No
↑ 4.25% 82% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 2029 24% Yes No
December 31, 2028 18% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.75–$2.0T 30% Yes No
$2.0–$2.25T 20% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 3% 100% Yes No
Above 4% 100% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.0T 100% Yes No
↑$900B 100% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket