Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Bank of Korea decision in July?

Increase 68% Yes No
No Change 34% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$32K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

SpaceX IPO: First Day Share Price Hits __?

↑$150 92% Yes No
↑$200 20% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$31K Vol.
Polymarket

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

0 70% Yes No
1 16% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$31K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

GDP growth in 2026

>2.5% 46% Yes No
1.5–2.0% 19% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$30K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

OPEC dissolves in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$30K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

ECB rate cut in 2026?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$28K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Forecasts closed
No 92%
Yes 8%
$28K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Elon Musk Net Worth on June 30?

800b+ 92% Yes No
740-760b 3% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$24K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

3rd richest person on December 31?

Sergey Brin 33% Yes No
Jeff Bezos 30% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$24K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Truist 14% Yes No
BMO 9% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$24K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

May Unemployment Rate

4.3% 100% Yes No
4.0% 0% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$23K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$21K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

2.9-3.2% 41% Yes No
3.8-4.1% 31% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$21K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

800–900B 36% Yes No
900B–1T 17% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$21K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

USD x Iranian rials End of June?

1.8-1.9M 36% Yes No
1.9-2.0M 20% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$21K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on June 5?

$400 0% Yes No
$410 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$20K Vol.
Polymarket

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of June 8 2026?

↑ $740 100% Yes No
↑ $745 100% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$20K Vol.
Polymarket

Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?

$7.000+ 75% Yes No
$8.000+ 51% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$20K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US bank failure by May 31?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$20K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?

$19K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

People's Bank of China rate change in May?

$19K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)

<1600.00 48% Yes No
1600.00–1699.99 30% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$19K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

2026 World GDP Growth

≤2.9% 46% Yes No
3.0% 39% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$18K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

No change 90% Yes No
Decrease 7% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$17K Vol.
Polymarket Economy