Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Bank of England decision in July?

No change 98% Yes No
25 bps increase 2% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$78K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49% 39% Yes No
4.50-4.99% 26% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$77K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Mexico Decision in August?

No change 91% Yes No
25 bps decrease 8% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$76K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

July Inflation US - Annual

3.4% 41% Yes No
3.3% 30% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$75K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+ 33% Yes No
1T–1.25T 16% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$71K Vol.
Polymarket

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

RBC 4% Yes No
Bank of America 3% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$68K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Oura IPO Closing Market Cap

$20B+ 18% Yes No
$17.5B–$20B 16% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$67K Vol.
Polymarket

CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap

400B+ yuan 99% Yes No
370–400B yuan 0% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$67K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

No 70%
Yes 30%
$65K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

India Annual Inflation 2026

4.50%+ 54% Yes No
3.75% to 4.49% 27% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$65K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Core CPI MoM - July 2026

0.2% 34% Yes No
0.1% 26% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$61K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

China Annual Inflation 2026

0.6 – 1.0% 43% Yes No
1.1 – 1.5% 42% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$61K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of England decision in September?

No change 57% Yes No
25 bps increase 44% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$61K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

$ANTH 48% Yes No
$AAI 16% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$59K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

No 44%
Yes 56%
$59K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Largest Company end of August?

NVIDIA 78% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$55K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

2 (50 bps) 37% Yes No
1 (25 bps) 27% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$54K Vol.
Polymarket

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

0-1% 60% Yes No
1-2% 21% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$53K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will ByteDance's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↓$550B 100% Yes No
↑$650B 38% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$53K Vol.
Polymarket

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$52K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

↑ 6.20% 100% Yes No
↑ 6.30% 100% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$50K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US economic state at the end of 2026?

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) 54% Yes No
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) 26% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$50K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

GPU rental prices (H100) end of July?

$2.60-$2.90 52% Yes No
$2.90-$3.20 25% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$49K Vol.
Polymarket

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

4.00% to 4.49% 35% Yes No
3.00% to 3.49% 16% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$46K Vol.
Polymarket Economy