Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Ricardo Ruiz Velasco 60% Yes No
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar 55% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$143K Vol.
Polymarket

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$142K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 9-15?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$142K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$142K Vol.
Polymarket

Claude Mythos released on…?

On or prior to June 9 100% Yes No
June 21 0% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$142K Vol.
Polymarket

JD Vance out as VP by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
June 30 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$142K Vol.
Polymarket

SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$142K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$142K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Highest temperature in Paris on June 1?

$142K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

No 16%
Yes 84%
$141K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Highest temperature in Beijing on June 12?

32°C 100% Yes No
30°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$141K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 8?

29°C 100% Yes No
25°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$141K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Munich on June 12?

17°C 100% Yes No
9°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$141K Vol.
Polymarket

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$141K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Highest temperature in Beijing on June 9?

28°C 100% Yes No
24°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$141K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 8?

23°C 100% Yes No
22°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$140K Vol.
Polymarket

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 3?

28°C 100% Yes No
23°C 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$140K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 2?

30°C 0% Yes No
31°C 0% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$140K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 12?

70-71°F 100% Yes No
68-69°F 0% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$140K Vol.
Polymarket

What price will Solana hit June 1-7?

↓ 70 100% Yes No
↓ 60 1% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$139K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in June 2026?

↓ $64 100% Yes No
↓ $66 100% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$139K Vol.
Polymarket

Solana above ___ on June 7?

30 100% Yes No
40 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$139K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

o1 FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$100M 86% Yes No
$200M 42% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$139K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Highest temperature in NYC on June 2?

$138K Vol.
Polymarket