Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

No 66%
Yes 34%
$14K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Dr. Oz say during the next White House press briefing?

China 3% Yes No
Tariff 3% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$13K Vol.
Polymarket

How many jobs added in May?

150k – 200k 100% Yes No
<0 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$13K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$13K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

What price will XRP hit on June 4?

↓ 1.15 100% Yes No
↓ 1.20 100% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$13K Vol.
Polymarket

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

No 74%
Yes 26%
$13K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

JOLTS Job Openings — April 2026

$12K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?

$433k - $435k 42% Yes No
$435k - $437k 30% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$12K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

South Korea Annual Inflation 2026

3.0%+ 57% Yes No
1.8% to 2.0% 26% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$11K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

No 74%
Yes 26%
$11K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

$39 trillion 100% Yes No
$40 trillion 94% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$11K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?

Increase 91% Yes No
No change 5% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$11K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

30.0-34.9% 31% Yes No
25-29.9% 20% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$11K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

ISM Manufacturing PMI - May 2026

$11K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$11K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

310+ 92% Yes No
280–310 3% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$10K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Bank of England decision in July?

No change 96% Yes No
25 bps increase 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$10K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How many Tornadoes in the US in May?

<200 100% Yes No
410+ 0% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$10K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$10K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What price will Solana hit on June 7?

↑ 65 100% Yes No
↑ 70 1% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$9K Vol.
Polymarket

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

0-1.0% 33% Yes No
1.0-2.0% 24% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$9K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30?

40%+ 100% Yes No
50%+ 20% Yes No
$9K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 23, 2026?

85–90 100% Yes No
<80 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$9K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$9K Vol.
Polymarket Economy