Global Elections

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party 90% Yes No

Republican Party 10% Yes No

$18.4M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party 64% Yes No

Republican Party 36% Yes No

$7.1M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 61% Yes No

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate 34% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$142K Vol.

Polymarket

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

No Hormuz Agreement 91% Yes No

Hormuz Agreement; D Senate 5% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.1M Vol.

Polymarket World

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

No Hormuz Agreement 96% Yes No

Hormuz Agreement; D Senate 2% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.8M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 65% Yes No

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate 32% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$250K Vol.

Polymarket

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 63% Yes No

Oil ≥ $80; R Senate 31% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$446K Vol.

Polymarket

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

Oil ≥ $85; D Senate 59% Yes No

Oil ≥ $85; R Senate 31% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$672K Vol.

Polymarket

WI-05 House Election Winner

Scott Fitzgerald (R) 97% Yes No

Andrew Beck (D) 2% Yes No

$108K Vol.

Polymarket

WI-07 House Election Winner

Michael Alfonso (R) 94% Yes No

Fred Clark (D) 4% Yes No

$78K Vol.

Polymarket

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

David Crowley (D) 80% Yes No

Tom Tiffany (R) 20% Yes No

$726K Vol.

Polymarket

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

Other 50% Yes No

Candidate A 50% Yes No

+40 more outcomes

$222K Vol.

Polymarket

Next Mayor of Ekurhuleni (Germiston)?

Other 50% Yes No

Person C 50% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

$45K Vol.

Polymarket

New Zealand legislative election winner?

Labour Party 54% Yes No

National Party 44% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$65K Vol.

Polymarket

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

National + ACT + NZF 40% Yes No

Labour + Green 29% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$65K Vol.

Polymarket

Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

Helen Zille 52% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+40 more outcomes

$127K Vol.

Polymarket

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

Kuomintang (KMT) 66% Yes No

Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) 31% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$310K Vol.

Polymarket

Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner

Ann Kao 88% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$31K Vol.

Polymarket

Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner

Lai Jui-lung 82% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+31 more outcomes

$67K Vol.

Polymarket

New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Su Chiao-hui 65% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$123K Vol.

Polymarket

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an 62% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.

Polymarket

Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

One Nation 57% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$26K Vol.

Polymarket

Spain General Election Winner

PP 84% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+31 more outcomes

$117K Vol.

Polymarket

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman 53% Yes No

Karen Bass 46% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$15.4M Vol.

Polymarket Politics