F1 Constructors' Champion Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? US military action against Cuba by...? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Largest Company end of December 2026? Netanyahu out by...? Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? MLS Cup Winner 2026 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Brazil Presidential Election Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Iran leadership change by...? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? F1 Drivers' Champion Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? World Cup: Golden Boot Winner Highest grossing movie in 2026?
F1 Constructors' Champion Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? US military action against Cuba by...? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Largest Company end of December 2026? Netanyahu out by...? Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? MLS Cup Winner 2026 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Brazil Presidential Election Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Iran leadership change by...? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? F1 Drivers' Champion Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? World Cup: Golden Boot Winner Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Resolved Pop Culture Polymarket

What will Trump say during the Defense and Innovation Summit?

Top outcomes

Oil 100%
Boeing 100%
Border 100%
Tariff 100%

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Defense and Innovation Summit on July 15, 2026 at 12 PM ET (https://politicspa.com/trump-to-headline-mccormicks-defense-and-innovation-summit-in-july/149365/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the Defense and Innovation Summit on July 15, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the event titled "Defense and Innovation Summit" scheduled for 12 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this visit is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other markets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

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$36K Vol. Closed Jul 15, 2026
Resolved outcome: Golden Dome

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All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$36K Vol.

Oil

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Boeing

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Border

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Tariff

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Hottest

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Venezuela

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Elon / Musk

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Golden Dome

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Iran 3+ times

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Biden 5+ times

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Save America / Save Act

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Moon

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Drone

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

SpaceX

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Data Center

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Space Force

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Stock Market

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Warren Buffett

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

-No Qualifying Event-

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Supreme Intelligence / Superior Intelligence

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.

Public forecast history

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