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Polymarket
Elon Musk # tweets in June 2026?
Top outcomes
920-959
26%
880-919
24%
840-879
14%
960-999
12%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
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$115K Vol.
Closes Jul 1, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$114.9k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$115K Vol.
920-959
26% market probability
26%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 74%
+26 / −74
880-919
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on 880-919
Explain your No on 880-919
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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840-879
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on 840-879
Explain your No on 840-879
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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960-999
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on 960-999
Explain your No on 960-999
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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1000-1039
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on 1000-1039
Explain your No on 1000-1039
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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800-839
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on 800-839
Explain your No on 800-839
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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1040-1079
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 1040-1079
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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760-799
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 760-799
Explain your No on 760-799
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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1080-1119
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 1080-1119
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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720-759
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 720-759
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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1160-1199
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 1160-1199
Explain your No on 1160-1199
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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680-719
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 680-719
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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1120-1159
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 1120-1159
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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1200-1239
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 1200-1239
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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1240-1279
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 1240-1279
Explain your No on 1240-1279
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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1400+
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 1400+
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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<400
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on <400
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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400-419
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 400-419
Explain your No on 400-419
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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420-439
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 420-439
Explain your No on 420-439
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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440-459
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 440-459
Explain your No on 440-459
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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460-479
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 460-479
Explain your No on 460-479
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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480-499
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 480-499
Explain your No on 480-499
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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500-519
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 500-519
Explain your No on 500-519
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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520-539
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 520-539
Explain your No on 520-539
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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540-559
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 540-559
Explain your No on 540-559
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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560-579
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 560-579
Explain your No on 560-579
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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580-599
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 580-599
Explain your No on 580-599
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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600-639
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 600-639
Explain your No on 600-639
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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640-679
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 640-679
Explain your No on 640-679
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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1280-1319
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 1280-1319
Explain your No on 1280-1319
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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1320-1359
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 1320-1359
Explain your No on 1320-1359
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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1360-1399
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 1360-1399
Explain your No on 1360-1399
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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