Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? MLS Cup Winner 2026 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? EPL: 2027 Champion New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Epstein client list released by...? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Iran leader end of 2026? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? NFL Champion 2027 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Netanyahu out by...? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Status

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 54% Yes No

Bernadette Wilson 36% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.

Polymarket

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D) 70% Yes No

Susan Collins (R) 30% Yes No

$1.2M Vol.

Polymarket

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?

December 31 81% Yes No

June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.2M Vol.

Polymarket Crypto

Who will Merab Dvalishivili fight next?

+11 more outcomes

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

October 31 68% Yes No

September 30 16% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

December 31 2% Yes No

September 30 2% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.

Polymarket World

Who will Petr Yan fight next?

Merab Dvalishvili 100% Yes No

Rob Font 0% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Alexandre Pantoja 52% Yes No

Joshua Van 46% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

MLB: NL Platinum Glove Winner

Pete Crow-Armstrong 93% Yes No

Jared Triolo 1% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

December 31 11% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.

Polymarket World

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

0 56% Yes No

1 36% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

Where will Julian Alvarez transfer?

Atletico Madrid 97% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

December 31, 2027 46% Yes No

June 30, 2027 30% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.

Polymarket

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

MLB: Doubles Leader

Freddie Freeman 11% Yes No

Corbin Carroll 7% Yes No

+39 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

French election called by...?

December 31, 2026 5% Yes No

October 10 0% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.

Polymarket

MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner

Jacob Misiorowski 88% Yes No

Chris Sale 5% Yes No

+22 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Gavin Newsom 12% Yes No

Rahm Emanuel 10% Yes No

+69 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.

Polymarket

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

December 31 10% Yes No

October 31 3% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.

Polymarket World

MLB: AL Platinum Glove Winner

Bobby Witt Jr. 42% Yes No

Ceddanne Rafaela 11% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

October 31 98% Yes No

September 30 94% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.

Polymarket

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

+13 more outcomes