Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Claude 6 released by...?
December 31, 2027
92%
Yes
No
June 30, 2027
72%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$39K Vol.
Polymarket
Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?
4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft
92%
Yes
No
Below 4,189.3 ft
7%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$39K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested)
Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri
96%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+36 more outcomes
$38K Vol.
Polymarket
Ángela Aguilar & Christian Nodal split in 2026?
No
54%
Yes
46%
$38K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Next Regional Board Chair of Västerbotten?
Peter Olofsson
95%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+30 more outcomes
$38K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$38K Vol.
Polymarket
Bank of Korea decision in November?
25 bps hike
66%
Yes
No
No Change
30%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$38K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
AZ-09 House Election Winner
Paul Gosar (R)
94%
Yes
No
Dani Sterbinsky (D)
4%
Yes
No
$38K Vol.
Polymarket
Next Regional Board Chair of Blekinge?
Lars Markus Hildingsson
99%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+32 more outcomes
$38K Vol.
Polymarket
WA-10 House Election Winner
Marilyn Strickland (D)
97%
Yes
No
Chris Chung (R)
2%
Yes
No
$37K Vol.
Polymarket
Kentucky Senate Election Winner
Andy Barr (R)
97%
Yes
No
Charles Booker (D)
3%
Yes
No
$37K Vol.
Polymarket
The Game Awards: Best Mobile Game
Other
50%
Yes
No
Game A
50%
Yes
No
+37 more outcomes
$37K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Will Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed?
No
60%
Yes
40%
$37K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in October 2026?
4+
70%
Yes
No
3
29%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$37K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will die in Avengers: Doomsday?
Loki
81%
Yes
No
Thor
65%
Yes
No
+7 more outcomes
$37K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
NV-04 House Election Winner
Steven Horsford (D)
96%
Yes
No
Cody Whipple (R)
4%
Yes
No
$37K Vol.
Polymarket
EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?
30M+
92%
Yes
No
31M+
86%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$37K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
ECB rate cut in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$36K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
NY-19 House Election Winner
Josh Riley (D)
96%
Yes
No
Peter Oberacker (R)
3%
Yes
No
$36K Vol.
Polymarket
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
November 30, 2026
67%
Yes
No
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
62%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$36K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026
25 bps increase
82%
Yes
No
No change
15%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$36K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
NHL: Teams to Record 100+ Points
Colorado Avalanche
88%
Yes
No
Carolina Hurricanes
84%
Yes
No
+30 more outcomes
$36K Vol.
Polymarket
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?
280M
29%
Yes
No
270M
3%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$36K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations
Paul Giamatti
92%
Yes
No
Andrew Garfield
80%
Yes
No
+24 more outcomes
$36K Vol.
Polymarket
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